MSFT WB Pro YC's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+13.38%
Last Year Return
$12,918.51
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$11,393.85
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
20.4/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality
51.9/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 43.0
30-Day Momentum
16
+1.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.9
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,393.85
Current Value
$12,918.51
Period P&L
$1,524.66
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 /
16
Best Trade
+3.65%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$851,158.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,524.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,524.66
Gross Return
+13.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $11,393.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $433.26 | 26 | $11,393.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $438.24 | 26 | $11,524.95 | $11,524.95 |
+$131.10 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $450.36 | 26 | $11,524.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $457.38 | 26 | $11,704.60 | $11,704.60 |
+$179.65 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $527.37 | 22 | $11,704.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $527.72 | 22 | $11,712.37 | $11,712.37 |
+$7.77 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $511.22 | 23 | $11,712.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $504.15 | 23 | $11,550.39 | $11,550.39 |
$-161.98 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $505.64 | 23 | $11,550.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $505.39 | 23 | $11,544.70 | $11,544.70 |
$-5.69 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $501.07 | 23 | $11,544.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $498.45 | 23 | $11,484.33 | $11,484.33 |
$-60.37 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $507.34 | 23 | $11,484.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $517.94 | 23 | $11,724.28 | $11,724.28 |
+$239.95 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $511.74 | 23 | $11,724.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $528.52 | 23 | $12,108.72 | $12,108.72 |
+$384.44 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $516.43 | 23 | $12,108.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $513.71 | 23 | $12,044.94 | $12,044.94 |
$-63.78 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET | $517.41 | 23 | $12,044.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $514.79 | 23 | $11,984.03 | $11,984.03 |
$-60.91 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $502.21 | 24 | $11,984.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $506.15 | 24 | $12,078.05 | $12,078.05 |
+$94.02 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:20am ET | $500.45 | 24 | $12,078.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $510.40 | 24 | $12,318.19 | $12,318.19 |
+$240.14 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $499.75 | 25 | $12,318.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.26 | 25 | $11,788.49 | $11,788.49 |
$-529.70 (-4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $469.05 | 25 | $11,788.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $485.49 | 25 | $12,201.67 | $12,201.67 |
+$413.18 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $486.21 | 25 | $12,201.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $477.74 | 25 | $11,989.11 | $11,989.11 |
$-212.56 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $480.70 | 25 | $11,989.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.35 | 25 | $11,930.62 | $11,930.62 |
$-58.49 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $478.95 | 25 | $11,930.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $478.51 | 25 | $11,919.66 | $11,919.66 |
$-10.96 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $478.93 | 25 | $11,919.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $477.19 | 25 | $11,876.35 | $11,876.35 |
$-43.31 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $464.66 | 26 | $11,876.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $459.87 | 26 | $11,753.92 | $11,753.92 |
$-122.43 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $449.43 | 26 | $11,753.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $465.81 | 26 | $12,182.41 | $12,182.41 |
+$428.49 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $432.00 | 28 | $12,182.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $423.31 | 28 | $11,937.35 | $11,937.35 |
$-245.06 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.70 | 29 | $11,937.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $413.50 | 29 | $12,166.86 | $12,166.86 |
+$229.51 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $409.70 | 30 | $12,166.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $400.82 | 30 | $11,903.15 | $11,903.15 |
$-263.71 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $396.91 | 30 | $11,903.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $398.48 | 30 | $11,950.23 | $11,950.23 |
+$47.08 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $388.43 | 31 | $11,950.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $400.58 | 31 | $12,324.03 | $12,324.03 |
+$373.80 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $390.58 | 32 | $12,324.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $403.69 | 32 | $12,737.69 | $12,737.69 |
+$413.66 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.76 | 31 | $12,737.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $409.41 | 31 | $12,884.02 | $12,884.02 |
+$146.33 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $404.66 | 32 | $12,884.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $402.42 | 32 | $12,812.51 | $12,812.51 |
$-71.51 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $397.94 | 32 | $12,812.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $399.43 | 32 | $12,860.64 | $12,860.64 |
+$48.13 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $376.52 | 34 | $12,860.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $365.65 | 34 | $12,489.36 | $12,489.36 |
$-371.28 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $360.89 | 35 | $12,489.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $369.23 | 35 | $12,777.98 | $12,777.98 |
+$288.62 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $365.58 | 35 | $12,777.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $371.62 | 35 | $12,989.09 | $12,989.09 |
+$211.11 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $423.78 | 31 | $12,989.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $423.89 | 31 | $12,992.46 | $12,992.46 |
+$3.37 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.14 | 31 | $12,992.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $425.05 | 31 | $13,175.97 | $13,175.97 |
+$183.51 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $422.21 | 31 | $13,175.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $413.96 | 31 | $12,918.51 | $12,918.51 |
$-257.46 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,918.51
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,918.51
Total Return:
+29.19%