Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:48:33

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.3/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 49.0/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,852
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,860.64
Current Value
$12,753.52
Period P&L
$-107.12
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+2.31%
Worst Trade
-2.89%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$206,092.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-107.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-107.12
Gross Return
-0.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $12,860.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $376.52 34 $12,860.64
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $365.65 34 $12,489.36 $12,489.36 $-371.28
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $360.89 35 $12,489.36
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.23 35 $12,777.98 $12,777.98 +$288.62
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.58 35 $12,777.98
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.62 35 $12,989.09 $12,989.09 +$211.11
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 31 $12,989.09
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.89 31 $12,992.46 $12,992.46 +$3.37
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 31 $12,992.46
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.05 31 $13,175.97 $13,175.97 +$183.51
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $422.21 31 $13,175.97
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.96 31 $12,918.51 $12,918.51 $-257.46
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $414.63 31 $12,918.51
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.90 31 $12,895.92 $12,895.92 $-22.59
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:45am ET $423.84 30 $12,895.92
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $419.16 30 $12,753.52 $12,753.52 $-142.40
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,753.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,753.52
Total Return: +27.54%
Back to WB Pro YC