Compendium › WB Pro YC › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

WB Pro YC's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 19 trades in period

+8.28%
Year to Date Return
$12,918.51
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$11,930.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.4/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 51.9/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 43.0

30-Day Momentum

16
+1.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.9 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,433
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,930.62
Current Value
$12,918.51
Period P&L
$987.89
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+3.65%
Worst Trade
-2.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$472,316.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$987.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$987.89
Gross Return
+8.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $11,930.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $478.95 25 $11,930.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.51 25 $11,919.66 $11,919.66 $-10.96
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $478.93 25 $11,919.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $477.19 25 $11,876.35 $11,876.35 $-43.31
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET $464.66 26 $11,876.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $459.87 26 $11,753.92 $11,753.92 $-122.43
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $449.43 26 $11,753.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $465.81 26 $12,182.41 $12,182.41 +$428.49
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $432.00 28 $12,182.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.31 28 $11,937.35 $11,937.35 $-245.06
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $405.70 29 $11,937.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.50 29 $12,166.86 $12,166.86 +$229.51
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $409.70 30 $12,166.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.82 30 $11,903.15 $11,903.15 $-263.71
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $396.91 30 $11,903.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $398.48 30 $11,950.23 $11,950.23 +$47.08
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET $388.43 31 $11,950.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.58 31 $12,324.03 $12,324.03 +$373.80
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $390.58 32 $12,324.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.69 32 $12,737.69 $12,737.69 +$413.66
(+3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.76 31 $12,737.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $409.41 31 $12,884.02 $12,884.02 +$146.33
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $404.66 32 $12,884.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $402.42 32 $12,812.51 $12,812.51 $-71.51
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET $397.94 32 $12,812.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $399.43 32 $12,860.64 $12,860.64 +$48.13
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $376.52 34 $12,860.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $365.65 34 $12,489.36 $12,489.36 $-371.28
(-2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $360.89 35 $12,489.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.23 35 $12,777.98 $12,777.98 +$288.62
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.58 35 $12,777.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.62 35 $12,989.09 $12,989.09 +$211.11
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 31 $12,989.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.89 31 $12,992.46 $12,992.46 +$3.37
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 31 $12,992.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.05 31 $13,175.97 $13,175.97 +$183.51
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $422.21 31 $13,175.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.96 31 $12,918.51 $12,918.51 $-257.46
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,918.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,918.51
Total Return: +29.19%
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