ISRG WB Pro YC's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 40 trades executed
+38.22%
2 Years Return
$13,821.85
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
49
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
26.8/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
58.8/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 48.8
30-Day Momentum
0
-5.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,515
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
515 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,821.85
Total P&L
$3,821.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
25 /
15
Best Trade
+7.18%
Worst Trade
-6.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,047,565.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,821.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,821.85
Gross Return
+38.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 515 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:25am ET | $476.76 | 21 | $10,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $493.07 | 21 | $10,342.10 | $10,342.10 |
+$342.10 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:50am ET | $491.40 | 21 | $10,342.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $482.42 | 21 | $10,153.11 | $10,153.11 |
$-188.99 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $474.11 | 21 | $10,153.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $508.13 | 21 | $10,881.65 | $10,881.65 |
+$728.54 (+7.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $506.82 | 21 | $10,881.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $531.82 | 21 | $11,418.41 | $11,418.41 |
+$536.76 (+4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $525.77 | 22 | $11,418.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $536.75 | 22 | $11,656.87 | $11,656.87 |
+$238.46 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET | $547.67 | 21 | $11,656.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $550.19 | 21 | $11,710.61 | $11,710.61 |
+$53.74 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $544.54 | 22 | $11,710.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $558.34 | 22 | $12,007.39 | $12,007.39 |
+$296.78 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $539.81 | 22 | $12,007.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $527.18 | 22 | $11,726.45 | $11,726.45 |
$-280.94 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $518.54 | 23 | $11,726.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $512.50 | 23 | $11,589.86 | $11,589.86 |
$-136.59 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 12:05pm ET | $508.48 | 23 | $11,589.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $495.86 | 23 | $11,302.21 | $11,302.21 |
$-287.65 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $478.96 | 24 | $11,302.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $474.06 | 24 | $11,186.70 | $11,186.70 |
$-115.51 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $469.72 | 24 | $11,186.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.39 | 24 | $11,393.21 | $11,393.21 |
+$206.51 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $466.84 | 24 | $11,393.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $474.27 | 24 | $11,574.66 | $11,574.66 |
+$181.45 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 11:50am ET | $454.88 | 25 | $11,574.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $470.03 | 25 | $11,960.16 | $11,960.16 |
+$385.50 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 11:30am ET | $441.16 | 27 | $11,960.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $435.64 | 27 | $11,810.64 | $11,810.64 |
$-149.52 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $437.05 | 27 | $11,810.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $447.18 | 27 | $12,084.39 | $12,084.39 |
+$273.75 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $439.26 | 28 | $12,084.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $449.57 | 28 | $12,368.03 | $12,368.03 |
+$283.64 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $443.80 | 28 | $12,368.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $429.54 | 28 | $11,970.63 | $11,970.63 |
$-397.40 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $429.19 | 28 | $11,970.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $446.14 | 28 | $12,443.39 | $12,443.39 |
+$472.76 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 11:25am ET | $531.23 | 23 | $12,443.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $551.24 | 23 | $12,912.18 | $12,912.18 |
+$468.79 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $535.63 | 24 | $12,912.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $560.00 | 24 | $13,499.66 | $13,499.66 |
+$587.48 (+4.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $554.34 | 24 | $13,499.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $564.47 | 24 | $13,746.35 | $13,746.35 |
+$246.69 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $559.40 | 25 | $13,746.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $578.61 | 25 | $14,218.40 | $14,218.40 |
+$472.05 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $548.05 | 26 | $14,218.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $559.53 | 26 | $14,516.23 | $14,516.23 |
+$297.83 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $550.57 | 26 | $14,516.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $572.78 | 26 | $15,101.81 | $15,101.81 |
+$585.58 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $557.55 | 27 | $15,101.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $592.36 | 27 | $16,044.70 | $16,044.70 |
+$942.89 (+6.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $575.01 | 28 | $16,044.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $541.00 | 28 | $15,095.71 | $15,095.71 |
$-948.99 (-5.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $525.10 | 29 | $15,095.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $522.04 | 29 | $15,007.73 | $15,007.73 |
$-87.98 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $513.88 | 29 | $15,007.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $478.87 | 29 | $13,985.41 | $13,985.41 |
$-1,022.32 (-6.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $471.26 | 30 | $13,985.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $492.81 | 30 | $14,624.94 | $14,624.94 |
+$639.53 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $487.89 | 30 | $14,624.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $485.27 | 30 | $14,546.25 | $14,546.25 |
$-78.69 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $495.55 | 29 | $14,546.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $506.16 | 29 | $14,857.75 | $14,857.75 |
+$311.50 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $492.75 | 30 | $14,857.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $495.74 | 30 | $14,947.91 | $14,947.91 |
+$90.16 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $485.30 | 31 | $14,947.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $493.18 | 31 | $15,190.78 | $15,190.78 |
+$242.87 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $485.17 | 31 | $15,190.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $482.75 | 31 | $15,115.01 | $15,115.01 |
$-75.77 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $475.55 | 32 | $15,115.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $479.19 | 32 | $15,230.54 | $15,230.54 |
+$115.53 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $472.23 | 32 | $15,230.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.43 | 32 | $14,624.12 | $14,624.12 |
$-606.42 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $450.62 | 32 | $14,624.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $452.00 | 32 | $14,668.91 | $14,668.91 |
+$44.79 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $461.85 | 32 | $14,668.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $452.03 | 32 | $14,357.01 | $14,357.01 |
$-311.90 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $471.36 | 30 | $14,357.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.79 | 30 | $13,821.85 | $13,821.85 |
$-535.16 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,821.85
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,821.85
Total Return:
+38.22%