LLY WB Pro YC's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 51 trades executed
+21.75%
2 Years Return
$12,175.35
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
38.2/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 33.0
30-Day Momentum
1
-6.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,827
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,175.35
Total P&L
$2,175.35
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
51
Winners / Losers
26 /
25
Best Trade
+13.12%
Worst Trade
-8.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,253,984.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,175.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,175.35
Gross Return
+21.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 10:55am ET | $747.33 | 13 | $10,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $731.93 | 13 | $9,793.96 | $9,793.96 |
$-206.04 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $742.09 | 13 | $9,793.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $839.47 | 13 | $11,079.24 | $11,079.24 |
+$1,285.28 (+13.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $839.47 | 13 | $11,079.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $828.40 | 13 | $10,933.14 | $10,933.14 |
$-146.10 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $870.05 | 13 | $10,933.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $794.07 | 13 | $9,978.37 | $9,978.37 |
$-954.77 (-8.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $794.07 | 13 | $9,978.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $775.17 | 13 | $9,740.87 | $9,740.87 |
$-237.50 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 10:30am ET | $751.16 | 13 | $9,740.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $713.41 | 13 | $9,251.34 | $9,251.34 |
$-489.53 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 11:10am ET | $717.84 | 13 | $9,251.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $747.29 | 13 | $9,630.88 | $9,630.88 |
+$379.54 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 10:30am ET | $784.10 | 12 | $9,630.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $778.72 | 12 | $9,564.80 | $9,564.80 |
$-66.08 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $773.02 | 12 | $9,564.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $792.89 | 12 | $9,810.66 | $9,810.66 |
+$245.86 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $789.32 | 12 | $9,810.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $771.67 | 12 | $9,591.28 | $9,591.28 |
$-219.38 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $763.00 | 13 | $9,591.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $804.30 | 13 | $10,110.44 | $10,110.44 |
+$519.16 (+5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 10:55am ET | $755.46 | 13 | $10,110.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $747.24 | 13 | $10,000.50 | $10,000.50 |
$-109.94 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $661.20 | 15 | $10,000.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $639.54 | 15 | $9,672.90 | $9,672.90 |
$-327.60 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $689.69 | 14 | $9,672.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $704.87 | 14 | $9,885.80 | $9,885.80 |
+$212.90 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $702.62 | 14 | $9,885.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $732.30 | 14 | $10,303.39 | $10,303.39 |
+$417.59 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $734.48 | 14 | $10,303.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $754.87 | 14 | $10,589.42 | $10,589.42 |
+$286.03 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $748.03 | 14 | $10,589.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $762.74 | 14 | $10,797.72 | $10,797.72 |
+$208.30 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $754.06 | 14 | $10,797.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $741.95 | 14 | $10,624.31 | $10,624.31 |
$-173.41 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $731.32 | 15 | $10,624.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $762.38 | 15 | $11,075.54 | $11,075.54 |
+$451.23 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $817.06 | 14 | $11,075.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $843.92 | 14 | $11,439.64 | $11,439.64 |
+$364.10 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $852.11 | 13 | $11,439.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $826.79 | 13 | $11,099.72 | $11,099.72 |
$-339.92 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $794.00 | 14 | $11,099.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $812.39 | 14 | $11,356.80 | $11,356.80 |
+$257.08 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $819.42 | 14 | $11,356.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $844.22 | 14 | $11,700.54 | $11,700.54 |
+$343.74 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $838.00 | 14 | $11,700.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $925.84 | 14 | $12,927.00 | $12,927.00 |
+$1,226.46 (+10.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $919.10 | 14 | $12,927.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $988.73 | 14 | $13,906.34 | $13,906.34 |
+$979.34 (+7.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $1,005.15 | 14 | $13,906.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,022.67 | 14 | $14,148.73 | $14,148.73 |
+$242.39 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $1,042.43 | 14 | $14,148.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,109.59 | 14 | $15,060.21 | $15,060.21 |
+$911.48 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,090.65 | 14 | $15,060.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,033.27 | 14 | $14,267.95 | $14,267.95 |
$-792.26 (-5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $1,020.80 | 14 | $14,267.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $981.86 | 14 | $13,723.68 | $13,723.68 |
$-544.27 (-3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $978.21 | 14 | $13,723.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,061.88 | 14 | $14,897.59 | $14,897.59 |
+$1,173.91 (+8.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $1,044.06 | 14 | $14,897.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,070.50 | 14 | $15,274.86 | $15,274.86 |
+$377.27 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $1,067.42 | 14 | $15,274.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,077.51 | 14 | $15,419.32 | $15,419.32 |
+$144.46 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,072.70 | 14 | $15,419.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,041.44 | 14 | $14,969.98 | $14,969.98 |
$-449.34 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,054.02 | 14 | $14,969.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,063.56 | 14 | $15,105.49 | $15,105.49 |
+$135.51 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,066.85 | 14 | $15,105.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,041.87 | 14 | $14,751.87 | $14,751.87 |
$-353.62 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,082.40 | 14 | $14,751.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,038.54 | 14 | $14,154.11 | $14,154.11 |
$-597.76 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,019.00 | 14 | $14,154.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,043.09 | 14 | $14,488.72 | $14,488.72 |
+$334.61 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,034.37 | 14 | $14,488.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,057.89 | 14 | $14,818.17 | $14,818.17 |
+$329.45 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,064.47 | 14 | $14,818.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,038.95 | 14 | $14,462.91 | $14,462.91 |
$-355.26 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,038.95 | 14 | $14,462.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,040.22 | 14 | $14,480.59 | $14,480.59 |
+$17.68 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,053.00 | 14 | $14,480.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,010.25 | 14 | $13,892.70 | $13,892.70 |
$-587.89 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,028.82 | 14 | $13,892.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,048.12 | 14 | $14,153.25 | $14,153.25 |
+$260.55 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,037.38 | 14 | $14,153.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $981.36 | 14 | $13,388.95 | $13,388.95 |
$-764.30 (-5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $984.61 | 14 | $13,388.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $929.24 | 14 | $12,636.08 | $12,636.08 |
$-752.87 (-5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $913.33 | 14 | $12,636.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $912.18 | 14 | $12,620.24 | $12,620.24 |
$-15.84 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $902.70 | 14 | $12,620.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $877.55 | 14 | $12,268.70 | $12,268.70 |
$-351.54 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $886.85 | 14 | $12,268.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $936.04 | 14 | $12,949.20 | $12,949.20 |
+$680.50 (+5.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $926.68 | 14 | $12,949.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $955.28 | 14 | $13,348.78 | $13,348.78 |
+$399.58 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $939.69 | 14 | $13,348.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $907.93 | 14 | $12,897.61 | $12,897.61 |
$-451.17 (-3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $906.58 | 14 | $12,897.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $903.96 | 14 | $12,860.34 | $12,860.34 |
$-37.27 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $900.42 | 14 | $12,860.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $852.46 | 14 | $12,175.35 | $12,175.35 |
$-684.99 (-5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,175.35
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,175.35
Total Return:
+21.75%