TQQQ WB Pro YC's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 36 trades executed
+140.13%
2 Years Return
$24,012.98
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
70
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
14.0/15
Consistency
8.5/10
Raw Quality
85.3/100
× Confidence 0.82
= 69.6
30-Day Momentum
54
+21.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.4
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,623
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$24,012.98
Total P&L
$14,012.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
24 /
12
Best Trade
+14.51%
Worst Trade
-8.11%
Avg Trade Return
+2.59%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,111,338.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,012.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,012.98
Gross Return
+140.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+140.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $22.55 | 444 | $10,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $23.08 | 444 | $10,237.30 | $10,237.30 |
+$237.30 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $24.64 | 415 | $10,237.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $22.65 | 415 | $9,407.47 | $9,407.47 |
$-829.83 (-8.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.77 | 432 | $9,407.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $24.04 | 432 | $10,386.29 | $10,386.29 |
+$978.82 (+10.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.96 | 400 | $10,386.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $29.73 | 400 | $11,893.81 | $11,893.81 |
+$1,507.52 (+14.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.20 | 422 | $11,893.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $29.56 | 422 | $12,466.18 | $12,466.18 |
+$572.37 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $34.58 | 361 | $12,466.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.16 | 361 | $11,954.19 | $11,954.19 |
$-511.99 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:50pm ET | $33.58 | 356 | $11,954.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $36.67 | 356 | $13,056.15 | $13,056.15 |
+$1,101.96 (+9.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $42.84 | 305 | $13,056.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $44.21 | 305 | $13,472.15 | $13,472.15 |
+$416.00 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.20 | 319 | $13,472.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $42.82 | 319 | $13,670.11 | $13,670.11 |
+$197.96 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $42.96 | 318 | $13,670.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $45.20 | 318 | $14,382.97 | $14,382.97 |
+$712.86 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:55am ET | $44.94 | 320 | $14,382.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $44.53 | 320 | $14,251.75 | $14,251.75 |
$-131.22 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $45.43 | 314 | $14,251.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $46.95 | 314 | $14,727.02 | $14,727.02 |
+$475.27 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $49.07 | 300 | $14,727.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.32 | 300 | $15,400.80 | $15,400.80 |
+$673.78 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $52.53 | 293 | $15,400.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $50.57 | 293 | $14,826.17 | $14,826.17 |
$-574.63 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $50.26 | 295 | $14,826.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.99 | 295 | $15,335.12 | $15,335.12 |
+$508.95 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.23 | 273 | $15,335.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $53.44 | 273 | $14,572.86 | $14,572.86 |
$-762.26 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $53.60 | 272 | $14,572.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.03 | 272 | $13,874.06 | $13,874.06 |
$-698.80 (-4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET | $49.78 | 279 | $13,874.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $47.48 | 279 | $13,233.03 | $13,233.03 |
$-641.03 (-4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $49.26 | 269 | $13,233.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $54.60 | 269 | $14,666.65 | $14,666.65 |
+$1,433.62 (+10.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.18 | 266 | $14,666.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.02 | 266 | $13,825.40 | $13,825.40 |
$-841.25 (-5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $50.46 | 274 | $13,825.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $53.55 | 274 | $14,673.47 | $14,673.47 |
+$848.07 (+6.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.26 | 281 | $14,673.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $55.01 | 281 | $15,445.61 | $15,445.61 |
+$772.14 (+5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $53.74 | 287 | $15,445.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $54.14 | 287 | $15,562.02 | $15,562.02 |
+$116.41 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $50.83 | 306 | $15,562.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $54.39 | 306 | $16,652.70 | $16,652.70 |
+$1,090.68 (+7.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $55.19 | 302 | $16,652.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $55.12 | 302 | $16,631.58 | $16,631.58 |
$-21.12 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.63 | 342 | $16,631.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.75 | 342 | $17,697.39 | $17,697.39 |
+$1,065.81 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $49.32 | 359 | $17,697.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $48.32 | 359 | $17,339.64 | $17,339.64 |
$-357.75 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $46.76 | 371 | $17,339.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $48.72 | 371 | $18,067.45 | $18,067.45 |
+$727.81 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $49.74 | 363 | $18,067.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $49.80 | 363 | $18,089.24 | $18,089.24 |
+$21.79 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.80 | 387 | $18,089.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $49.70 | 387 | $19,210.04 | $19,210.04 |
+$1,120.80 (+6.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.60 | 404 | $19,210.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $49.22 | 404 | $19,866.84 | $19,866.84 |
+$656.80 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $47.49 | 418 | $19,866.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.40 | 418 | $19,827.10 | $19,827.10 |
$-39.74 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $44.55 | 445 | $19,827.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $44.44 | 445 | $19,780.37 | $19,780.37 |
$-46.73 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.02 | 482 | $19,780.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $44.01 | 482 | $21,221.90 | $21,221.90 |
+$1,441.53 (+7.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $57.88 | 367 | $21,221.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $62.62 | 367 | $22,957.96 | $22,957.96 |
+$1,736.06 (+8.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $60.76 | 378 | $22,957.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.55 | 378 | $24,012.98 | $24,012.98 |
+$1,055.02 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$24,012.98
Net Profit/Loss:
+$14,012.98
Total Return:
+140.13%