XLK WB Pro YC's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 43 trades executed
+44.42%
2 Years Return
$14,441.69
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
64
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
31.1/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
12.0/15
Profit Factor
10.4/15
Consistency
8.5/10
Raw Quality
75.7/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 63.8
30-Day Momentum
41
+8.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.9
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,850
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$14,441.69
Total P&L
$4,441.69
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
43
Winners / Losers
31 /
12
Best Trade
+4.29%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.88%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,006,337.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,441.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,441.69
Gross Return
+44.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.42%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $94.93 | 105 | $10,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $97.22 | 105 | $10,241.77 | $10,241.77 |
+$241.77 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $100.19 | 102 | $10,241.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $96.96 | 102 | $9,912.08 | $9,912.08 |
$-329.69 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.06 | 104 | $9,912.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $98.95 | 104 | $10,318.50 | $10,318.50 |
+$406.42 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 11:20am ET | $103.00 | 100 | $10,318.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $104.91 | 100 | $10,510.35 | $10,510.35 |
+$191.85 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $106.43 | 99 | $10,510.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $108.91 | 99 | $10,754.77 | $10,754.77 |
+$244.42 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $115.53 | 93 | $10,754.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $113.37 | 93 | $10,554.15 | $10,554.15 |
$-200.62 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 10:30am ET | $115.82 | 91 | $10,554.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $116.49 | 91 | $10,615.20 | $10,615.20 |
+$61.05 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $126.68 | 84 | $10,615.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.34 | 84 | $10,838.52 | $10,838.52 |
+$223.32 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $129.27 | 84 | $10,838.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $130.68 | 84 | $10,956.74 | $10,956.74 |
+$118.22 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $129.49 | 85 | $10,956.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $130.07 | 85 | $11,005.82 | $11,005.82 |
+$49.08 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $129.28 | 85 | $11,005.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $131.23 | 85 | $11,171.82 | $11,171.82 |
+$166.00 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $132.03 | 85 | $11,171.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $130.68 | 85 | $11,058.01 | $11,058.01 |
$-113.81 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:30am ET | $130.80 | 85 | $11,058.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.67 | 85 | $11,215.68 | $11,215.68 |
+$157.67 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $137.71 | 81 | $11,215.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $140.12 | 81 | $11,412.37 | $11,412.37 |
+$196.69 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET | $141.88 | 80 | $11,412.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $142.85 | 80 | $11,490.40 | $11,490.40 |
+$78.03 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $143.44 | 80 | $11,490.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $140.72 | 80 | $11,272.90 | $11,272.90 |
$-217.50 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $141.46 | 80 | $11,272.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.11 | 80 | $11,483.68 | $11,483.68 |
+$210.78 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $142.68 | 80 | $11,483.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.82 | 80 | $11,816.89 | $11,816.89 |
+$333.21 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 12:15pm ET | $149.84 | 79 | $11,816.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.95 | 79 | $11,589.16 | $11,589.16 |
$-227.73 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $146.78 | 79 | $11,589.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $147.82 | 79 | $11,671.67 | $11,671.67 |
+$82.51 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $144.75 | 81 | $11,671.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $141.84 | 81 | $11,437.03 | $11,437.03 |
$-234.64 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET | $140.27 | 82 | $11,437.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $136.64 | 82 | $11,141.04 | $11,141.04 |
$-295.99 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $138.30 | 81 | $11,141.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $143.11 | 81 | $11,528.53 | $11,528.53 |
+$387.49 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $143.35 | 80 | $11,528.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.58 | 80 | $11,788.29 | $11,788.29 |
+$259.76 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $146.42 | 81 | $11,788.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $142.31 | 81 | $11,457.39 | $11,457.39 |
$-330.90 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $140.50 | 82 | $11,457.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.61 | 82 | $11,792.55 | $11,792.55 |
+$335.16 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $144.06 | 82 | $11,792.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.63 | 82 | $12,002.93 | $12,002.93 |
+$210.38 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.24 | 83 | $12,002.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.79 | 83 | $12,131.03 | $12,131.03 |
+$128.10 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $144.66 | 84 | $12,131.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.61 | 84 | $12,210.70 | $12,210.70 |
+$79.67 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $142.61 | 86 | $12,210.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.07 | 86 | $12,421.33 | $12,421.33 |
+$210.63 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.37 | 84 | $12,421.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.28 | 84 | $12,245.21 | $12,245.21 |
$-176.12 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $139.44 | 88 | $12,245.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $141.06 | 88 | $12,387.47 | $12,387.47 |
+$142.26 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $141.98 | 87 | $12,387.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $139.41 | 87 | $12,163.24 | $12,163.24 |
$-224.23 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.45 | 88 | $12,163.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.13 | 88 | $12,310.84 | $12,310.84 |
+$147.60 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $141.58 | 87 | $12,310.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $139.60 | 87 | $12,139.11 | $12,139.11 |
$-171.73 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.24 | 89 | $12,139.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.03 | 89 | $12,476.68 | $12,476.68 |
+$337.57 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $137.23 | 91 | $12,476.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $139.62 | 91 | $12,693.52 | $12,693.52 |
+$216.84 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $138.25 | 92 | $12,693.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $138.70 | 92 | $12,734.38 | $12,734.38 |
+$40.86 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $136.82 | 93 | $12,734.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $136.79 | 93 | $12,731.12 | $12,731.12 |
$-3.26 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $129.30 | 98 | $12,731.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $134.84 | 98 | $13,276.81 | $13,276.81 |
+$545.69 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.40 | 100 | $13,276.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $137.29 | 100 | $13,766.67 | $13,766.67 |
+$489.86 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $155.39 | 89 | $13,766.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.52 | 89 | $14,221.60 | $14,221.60 |
+$454.93 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.02 | 91 | $14,221.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $159.45 | 91 | $14,441.69 | $14,441.69 |
+$220.09 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,441.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,441.69
Total Return:
+44.42%