Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 00:38:48

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 38.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 38.1

30-Day Momentum

36
+8.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.6 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,579.37
Current Value
$17,870.59
Period P&L
$929.85
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+7.03%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
+1.74%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$168,854.59
Estimated Fees
$422.14
Gross P&L
$929.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$507.71
Gross Return
+5.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.26%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wendy Weekend had $15,579.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 24, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.34 12,286 $16,443.27
🔴 SELL May 25, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.35 12,286 $16,623.14 $16,623.14 +$97.20
(+1.1%)
TIME_24H
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 31, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.33 12,455 $16,623.14
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.29 12,455 $16,041.26 $16,041.26 $-663.54
(-3.5%)
TIME_24H
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.13 14,194 $16,041.26
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.18 14,194 $16,715.46 $16,715.46 +$592.31
(+4.2%)
TIME_24H
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.17 14,326 $16,715.46
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.25 14,326 $17,890.51 $17,890.51 +$1,088.54
(+7.0%)
TIME_24H
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.13 15,813 $17,890.51
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.13 15,813 $17,870.59 $17,870.59 $-109.33
(-0.1%)
TIME_24H
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,870.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,870.59
Total Return: +78.71%
Back to Wendy Weekend