Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.2/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 50.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 49.2

30-Day Momentum

10
+1.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.7 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,181.08
Current Value
$13,453.46
Period P&L
$272.37
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+4.67%
Worst Trade
-1.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$134,994.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$272.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$272.37
Gross Return
+2.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,181.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $347.77 38 $13,255.79
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.24 38 $13,045.01 $13,045.01 $-210.78
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 39 $13,045.01
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $351.95 39 $13,654.10 $13,654.10 +$609.09
(+4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 39 $13,654.10
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 39 $13,781.68 $13,781.68 +$127.58
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $352.43 39 $13,781.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.36 39 $13,661.63 $13,661.63 $-120.05
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $343.56 40 $13,661.63
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.33 40 $13,453.46 $13,453.46 $-208.17
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,453.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,453.46
Total Return: +34.53%
Back to Wrecking Ball