Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.67%
Last Month Return
$13,461.71
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$14,270.24
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:15:04

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.2/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 50.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 49.4

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-46 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,539
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,270.24
Current Value
$13,461.71
Period P&L
$-808.52
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+4.12%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$111,960.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-808.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-808.52
Gross Return
-5.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,270.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:05am ET $327.52 42 $13,615.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $335.50 42 $13,947.22 $13,947.22 +$331.74
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $331.95 42 $13,947.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.62 42 $14,521.58 $14,521.58 +$574.36
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $351.64 41 $14,521.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.35 41 $13,972.74 $13,972.74 $-548.84
(-3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $353.54 40 $13,972.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $340.61 40 $13,461.71 $13,461.71 $-511.03
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,461.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,461.71
Total Return: +34.62%
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