Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:32:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score PRO Scored Jun 22, 2026

75
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 76.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 75.4

30-Day Momentum

40
+11.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.1 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,495
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$47,929.15
Current Value
$53,596.35
Period P&L
$5,667.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+9.47%
Worst Trade
-4.59%
Avg Trade Return
+2.96%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$413,362.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,667.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,667.20
Gross Return
+11.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $47,929.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:30am ET $411.42 116 $47,929.15
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $426.36 116 $49,669.03 $49,669.03 +$1,739.88
(+3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:40am ET $436.71 114 $49,669.03
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.07 114 $54,372.47 $54,372.47 +$4,703.44
(+9.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 132 $54,372.47
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $391.55 132 $51,876.99 $51,876.99 $-2,495.48
(-4.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $381.23 136 $51,876.99
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $393.86 136 $53,596.35 $53,596.35 +$1,719.36
(+3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $53,596.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$43,596.35
Total Return: +435.96%
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