Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:25:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 7.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 7.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-13.2%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,493
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,614.00
Current Value
$9,211.92
Period P&L
$-1,402.08
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+7.99%
Worst Trade
-7.76%
Avg Trade Return
-1.45%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$170,003.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,402.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,402.08
Gross Return
-13.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $10,614.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $192.10 55 $10,614.00
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $179.76 55 $9,931.91 $9,931.91 $-682.09
(-6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $178.35 56 $9,931.91
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.27 56 $10,150.42 $10,150.42 +$218.51
(+2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:30am ET $180.15 56 $10,150.42
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.85 56 $10,246.49 $10,246.49 +$96.07
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $176.94 58 $10,246.49
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $163.21 58 $9,451.39 $9,451.39 $-795.10
(-7.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $162.38 58 $9,451.39
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $152.50 58 $8,876.32 $8,876.32 $-575.07
(-6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $162.28 55 $8,876.32
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.56 55 $8,508.92 $8,508.92 $-367.40
(-4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $158.51 54 $8,508.92
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.53 54 $8,617.57 $8,617.57 +$108.65
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $157.00 55 $8,617.57
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.54 55 $9,306.01 $9,306.01 +$688.44
(+8.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $167.64 56 $9,306.01
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.95 56 $9,211.92 $9,211.92 $-94.09
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,211.92
Net Profit/Loss: $-788.08
Total Return: -7.88%
Back to Wrecking Ball