Compendium › Wrecking Ball › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.70%
Last Month Return
$18,553.21
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$19,067.42
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 72.3/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 68.4

30-Day Momentum

3
-2.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,067.42
Current Value
$18,553.21
Period P&L
$-514.22
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+3.02%
Worst Trade
-3.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$153,759.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-514.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-514.22
Gross Return
-2.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $19,067.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $450.62 42 $19,055.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.00 42 $19,113.73 $19,113.73 +$58.36
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $454.06 42 $19,113.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $467.76 42 $19,690.22 $19,690.22 +$576.49
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $461.85 43 $19,690.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.03 43 $19,271.56 $19,271.56 $-418.66
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $471.36 41 $19,271.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $453.79 41 $18,553.21 $18,553.21 $-718.35
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,553.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,553.21
Total Return: +85.53%
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