Compendium › Wrecking Ball › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.95%
Last Month Return
$17,597.40
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$18,132.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:14:45

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 69.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 66.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-63 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,491
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,132.95
Current Value
$17,597.40
Period P&L
$-535.55
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+3.82%
Worst Trade
-4.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$141,367.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-535.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-535.55
Gross Return
-2.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $18,132.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $435.68 41 $17,929.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $436.93 41 $17,981.30 $17,981.30 +$51.44
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $432.42 42 $17,981.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $412.24 42 $17,142.36 $17,142.36 $-838.94
(-4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 42 $17,142.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $422.08 42 $17,796.53 $17,796.53 +$654.17
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $420.49 42 $17,796.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $415.79 42 $17,597.40 $17,597.40 $-199.13
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,597.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,597.40
Total Return: +75.97%
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