Compendium › Wrecking Ball › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+6.69%
Last Month Return
$14,968.63
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$14,029.40
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

65
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.8/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 68.3/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 65.0

30-Day Momentum

49
+10.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,029.40
Current Value
$14,968.63
Period P&L
$939.24
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+4.43%
Worst Trade
+0.13%
Avg Trade Return
+2.62%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$115,329.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$939.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$939.24
Gross Return
+6.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,029.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $242.49 56 $13,507.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $252.32 56 $14,054.18 $14,054.18 +$546.98
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $250.00 56 $14,054.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $261.08 56 $14,677.06 $14,677.06 +$622.88
(+4.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $276.28 53 $14,677.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.63 53 $14,695.65 $14,695.65 +$18.59
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET $274.29 54 $14,695.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $279.39 54 $14,968.63 $14,968.63 +$272.98
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,968.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,968.63
Total Return: +49.69%
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