Compendium › Wrecking Ball › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.13%
Last Month Return
$15,320.23
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$15,495.75
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
7.3/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 72.8/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 68.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-1.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-68 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,495.75
Current Value
$15,320.23
Period P&L
$-175.52
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.07%
Worst Trade
-0.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$123,605.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-175.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-175.52
Gross Return
-1.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,495.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 65 $15,495.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.96 65 $15,506.50 $15,506.50 +$10.75
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 66 $15,506.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $234.44 66 $15,491.30 $15,491.30 $-15.20
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $231.95 67 $15,491.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.53 67 $15,396.79 $15,396.79 $-94.51
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $228.26 67 $15,396.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.13 67 $15,320.23 $15,320.23 $-76.56
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,320.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,320.23
Total Return: +53.20%
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