Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.31%
Last Month Return
$12,721.08
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$13,021.71
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:32:47

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.1/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 43.7/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 40.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,495
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,021.71
Current Value
$12,721.08
Period P&L
$-300.63
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.95

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.15%
Worst Trade
-1.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.83%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,119.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-300.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-300.63
Gross Return
-2.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,021.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $506.75 26 $13,154.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.35 26 $12,936.18 $12,936.18 $-218.11
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:00am ET $493.45 26 $12,936.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.21 26 $12,955.97 $12,955.97 +$19.79
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $490.40 26 $12,955.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.85 26 $12,730.09 $12,730.09 $-225.88
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET $487.21 26 $12,730.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.87 26 $12,721.08 $12,721.08 $-9.01
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,721.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,721.08
Total Return: +27.21%
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