Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 7 trades in period

-0.00%
Last Month Return
$12,353.57
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$12,353.91
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:12:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 40.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 39.6

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.0%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,737
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,353.91
Current Value
$12,353.57
Period P&L
$-0.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+2.16%
Worst Trade
-2.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$174,178.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-0.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-0.34
Gross Return
-0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,353.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET $176.63 70 $12,353.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $178.43 70 $12,479.81 $12,479.81 +$125.90
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $176.74 71 $12,479.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.55 71 $12,748.84 $12,748.84 +$269.03
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET $191.48 67 $12,748.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.22 67 $12,465.21 $12,465.21 $-283.63
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $189.80 66 $12,465.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.11 66 $12,419.89 $12,419.89 $-45.32
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $188.83 66 $12,419.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.18 66 $12,377.46 $12,377.46 $-42.43
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $189.18 65 $12,377.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.14 65 $12,244.31 $12,244.31 $-133.15
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $187.71 65 $12,244.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.38 65 $12,353.57 $12,353.57 +$109.26
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,353.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,353.57
Total Return: +23.54%
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