Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 5 trades in period

+3.26%
Last Month Return
$16,633.22
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$16,108.34
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:16:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

65
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 67.0/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 65.0

30-Day Momentum

39
+5.2%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.8 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,108.34
Current Value
$16,633.22
Period P&L
$524.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.53

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+4.10%
Worst Trade
-1.95%
Avg Trade Return
+1.05%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$165,401.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$524.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$524.88
Gross Return
+3.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $16,108.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.58 43 $15,804.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.62 43 $16,065.11 $16,065.11 +$261.11
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $368.73 44 $16,065.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.86 44 $16,724.09 $16,724.09 +$658.98
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 39 $16,724.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.89 39 $16,728.43 $16,728.43 +$4.34
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 40 $16,728.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.05 40 $16,964.71 $16,964.71 +$236.28
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $422.21 40 $16,964.71 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.96 40 $16,633.22 $16,633.22 $-331.49
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,633.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,633.22
Total Return: +66.33%
Back to Wrecking Ball