Compendium › Wrecking Ball › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.94%
Last Month Return
$36,781.03
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$36,438.03
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:16:02

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.2/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 73.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 71.0

30-Day Momentum

4
+0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,540
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$36,438.03
Current Value
$36,781.03
Period P&L
$343.00
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+6.29%
Worst Trade
-4.45%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$224,695.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$343.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$343.00
Gross Return
+0.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $36,438.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $209.96 174 $36,438.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $223.18 174 $38,731.40 $38,731.40 +$2,293.37
(+6.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $218.09 178 $38,731.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $208.38 178 $37,006.97 $37,006.97 $-1,724.43
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $206.39 179 $37,006.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.13 179 $36,781.03 $36,781.03 $-225.94
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $36,781.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$26,781.03
Total Return: +267.81%
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