Compendium › Wrecking Ball › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+6.70%
Last Month Return
$35,646.15
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$33,406.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 74.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 71.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$33,406.69
Current Value
$35,646.15
Period P&L
$2,239.46
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.68

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.00%
Worst Trade
-3.62%
Avg Trade Return
+3.44%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$210,434.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,239.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,239.46
Gross Return
+6.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $33,406.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $171.49 188 $32,322.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.70 188 $34,247.34 $34,247.34 +$1,924.43
(+6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $197.50 173 $34,247.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.29 173 $36,985.62 $36,985.62 +$2,738.28
(+8.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $203.64 182 $36,985.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.26 182 $35,646.15 $35,646.15 $-1,339.47
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $35,646.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$25,646.15
Total Return: +256.46%
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