Compendium › Wrecking Ball › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+7.39%
Last Month Return
$15,610.47
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$14,536.32
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:24:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 69.7/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 63.3

30-Day Momentum

46
+9.1%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,536.32
Current Value
$15,610.47
Period P&L
$1,074.15
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.81

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+6.98%
Worst Trade
+0.22%
Avg Trade Return
+2.24%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$121,151.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,074.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,074.15
Gross Return
+7.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,536.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $479.98 30 $14,307.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.87 30 $14,513.07 $14,513.07 +$205.38
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $493.13 29 $14,513.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $527.58 29 $15,526.80 $15,526.80 +$1,013.73
(+7.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $524.27 30 $15,526.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $525.95 30 $15,576.55 $15,576.55 +$49.75
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 33 $15,576.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $471.69 33 $15,610.47 $15,610.47 +$33.92
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,610.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,610.47
Total Return: +56.10%
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