Compendium › Wrecking Ball › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+10.16%
Last Month Return
$20,519.23
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$18,627.39
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 5, 2026

76
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
8.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 76.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 75.9

30-Day Momentum

52
+12.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,627.39
Current Value
$20,519.23
Period P&L
$1,891.84
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.98

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
+1.55%
Avg Trade Return
+2.92%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$155,538.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,891.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,891.84
Gross Return
+10.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $18,627.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $134.41 136 $18,292.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.65 136 $18,596.77 $18,596.77 +$304.17
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $135.03 138 $18,596.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $142.02 138 $19,560.14 $19,560.14 +$963.37
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $155.39 126 $19,560.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.52 126 $20,206.52 $20,206.52 +$646.38
(+3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $157.02 129 $20,206.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.45 129 $20,519.23 $20,519.23 +$312.71
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,519.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,519.23
Total Return: +105.19%
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