HD Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 46 trades in period
+11.84%
Last Year Return
$14,988.71
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$13,401.61
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
63
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
34.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
64.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 63.0
30-Day Momentum
31
+6.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.6
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,258
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,401.61
Current Value
$14,988.71
Period P&L
$1,587.10
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
22 /
24
Best Trade
+9.52%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,296,092.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,587.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,587.10
Gross Return
+11.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,401.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $359.48 | 37 | $13,401.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $362.59 | 37 | $13,517.55 | $13,517.55 |
+$115.94 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $376.41 | 36 | $13,517.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $366.14 | 36 | $13,148.74 | $13,148.74 |
$-368.81 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $362.56 | 36 | $13,148.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $368.24 | 36 | $13,354.73 | $13,354.73 |
+$205.99 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $363.29 | 37 | $13,354.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $369.35 | 37 | $13,577.50 | $13,577.50 |
+$222.77 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $363.76 | 37 | $13,577.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $353.58 | 37 | $13,197.44 | $13,197.44 |
$-380.06 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 1:05pm ET | $374.80 | 35 | $13,197.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $367.51 | 35 | $12,940.74 | $12,940.74 |
$-256.70 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $369.05 | 35 | $12,940.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $357.40 | 35 | $12,532.40 | $12,532.40 |
$-408.34 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $354.85 | 35 | $12,532.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $370.89 | 35 | $13,098.89 | $13,098.89 |
+$566.49 (+4.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET | $372.21 | 35 | $13,098.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $380.94 | 35 | $13,406.30 | $13,406.30 |
+$307.41 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $385.87 | 35 | $13,406.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $400.30 | 35 | $13,907.47 | $13,907.47 |
+$501.17 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $396.36 | 35 | $13,907.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $401.80 | 35 | $14,098.35 | $14,098.35 |
+$190.88 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $399.99 | 35 | $14,098.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.61 | 35 | $14,366.97 | $14,366.97 |
+$268.62 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:30am ET | $415.19 | 35 | $14,366.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $413.35 | 35 | $14,303.47 | $14,303.47 |
$-63.50 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $419.69 | 34 | $14,303.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $416.89 | 34 | $14,208.04 | $14,208.04 |
$-95.43 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $411.41 | 35 | $14,208.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.48 | 35 | $14,072.32 | $14,072.32 |
$-135.72 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $406.40 | 35 | $14,072.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $395.01 | 35 | $13,677.92 | $13,677.92 |
$-394.40 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $391.93 | 35 | $13,677.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $377.83 | 35 | $13,185.85 | $13,185.85 |
$-492.07 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:50am ET | $375.50 | 35 | $13,185.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $388.67 | 35 | $13,648.32 | $13,648.32 |
+$462.47 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:55am ET | $385.95 | 35 | $13,648.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $385.82 | 35 | $13,643.90 | $13,643.90 |
$-4.42 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $382.98 | 36 | $13,643.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $378.44 | 36 | $13,482.34 | $13,482.34 |
$-161.56 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $379.37 | 36 | $13,482.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $370.45 | 36 | $13,165.33 | $13,165.33 |
$-317.01 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $371.52 | 35 | $13,165.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $358.29 | 35 | $12,696.33 | $12,696.33 |
$-469.00 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $344.65 | 37 | $12,696.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $343.86 | 37 | $12,667.41 | $12,667.41 |
$-28.92 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $339.37 | 37 | $12,667.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $356.92 | 37 | $13,322.49 | $13,322.49 |
+$655.08 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $354.38 | 38 | $13,322.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $354.58 | 38 | $13,330.01 | $13,330.01 |
+$7.52 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $347.85 | 38 | $13,330.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $357.64 | 38 | $13,705.31 | $13,705.31 |
+$375.30 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $353.67 | 39 | $13,705.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $345.05 | 39 | $13,371.27 | $13,371.27 |
$-334.04 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $342.39 | 39 | $13,371.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $347.43 | 39 | $13,568.10 | $13,568.10 |
+$196.83 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $341.12 | 40 | $13,568.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $349.12 | 40 | $13,886.19 | $13,886.19 |
+$318.09 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.78 | 40 | $13,886.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.81 | 40 | $15,208.84 | $15,208.84 |
+$1,322.65 (+9.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.29 | 41 | $15,208.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $383.77 | 41 | $15,636.03 | $15,636.03 |
+$427.19 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $382.66 | 41 | $15,636.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $374.73 | 41 | $15,312.00 | $15,312.00 |
$-324.03 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $384.81 | 40 | $15,312.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $385.25 | 40 | $15,329.51 | $15,329.51 |
+$17.51 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $380.45 | 40 | $15,329.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $390.22 | 40 | $15,723.17 | $15,723.17 |
+$393.66 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $388.05 | 41 | $15,723.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $390.48 | 41 | $15,821.43 | $15,821.43 |
+$98.26 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $388.19 | 41 | $15,821.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $381.75 | 41 | $15,558.96 | $15,558.96 |
$-262.47 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $376.18 | 41 | $15,558.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $375.48 | 41 | $15,530.01 | $15,530.01 |
$-28.95 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $372.99 | 42 | $15,530.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $369.06 | 42 | $15,366.38 | $15,366.38 |
$-163.63 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $365.05 | 42 | $15,366.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $357.36 | 42 | $15,042.68 | $15,042.68 |
$-323.70 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $354.33 | 42 | $15,042.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $342.93 | 42 | $14,558.71 | $14,558.71 |
$-483.97 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.88 | 43 | $14,558.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $331.16 | 43 | $14,269.16 | $14,269.16 |
$-289.55 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.94 | 44 | $14,269.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $321.69 | 44 | $14,083.10 | $14,083.10 |
$-186.06 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.55 | 44 | $14,083.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $335.93 | 44 | $14,621.96 | $14,621.96 |
+$538.86 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.64 | 44 | $14,621.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $342.30 | 44 | $15,092.18 | $15,092.18 |
+$470.22 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $338.86 | 45 | $15,092.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $350.61 | 45 | $15,615.28 | $15,615.28 |
+$523.10 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $336.51 | 46 | $15,615.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $323.01 | 46 | $14,988.71 | $14,988.71 |
$-626.57 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,988.71
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,988.71
Total Return:
+49.89%