ISRG Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 39 trades in period
+18.64%
Last Year Return
$18,553.21
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$15,638.10
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
68
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality
72.3/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 68.4
30-Day Momentum
3
-2.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,961
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,638.10
Current Value
$18,553.21
Period P&L
$2,915.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
25 /
14
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-6.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,380,490.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,915.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,915.11
Gross Return
+18.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,638.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $525.77 | 30 | $15,638.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $536.75 | 30 | $15,964.68 | $15,964.68 |
+$326.58 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 9:40am ET | $553.57 | 29 | $15,964.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $557.34 | 29 | $16,073.40 | $16,073.40 |
+$108.72 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET | $547.67 | 29 | $16,073.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $550.19 | 29 | $16,147.51 | $16,147.51 |
+$74.11 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $544.54 | 30 | $16,147.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $558.34 | 30 | $16,556.73 | $16,556.73 |
+$409.22 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $504.40 | 33 | $16,556.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $512.97 | 33 | $16,838.04 | $16,838.04 |
+$281.31 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $539.81 | 31 | $16,838.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $527.18 | 31 | $16,444.08 | $16,444.08 |
$-393.96 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $522.08 | 31 | $16,444.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $512.21 | 31 | $16,133.20 | $16,133.20 |
$-310.88 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 12:05pm ET | $508.48 | 32 | $16,133.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $495.86 | 32 | $15,732.79 | $15,732.79 |
$-400.41 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $490.37 | 32 | $15,732.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $476.97 | 32 | $15,302.87 | $15,302.87 |
$-429.92 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $469.72 | 33 | $15,302.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.39 | 33 | $15,585.36 | $15,585.36 |
+$282.49 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $466.84 | 33 | $15,585.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $474.27 | 33 | $15,833.58 | $15,833.58 |
+$248.22 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 11:50am ET | $454.88 | 35 | $15,833.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $470.03 | 35 | $16,360.93 | $16,360.93 |
+$527.35 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $461.26 | 35 | $16,360.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $433.87 | 35 | $15,389.40 | $15,389.40 |
$-971.53 (-5.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $437.05 | 35 | $15,389.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $447.18 | 35 | $15,746.10 | $15,746.10 |
+$356.70 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $439.26 | 36 | $15,746.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $449.57 | 36 | $16,115.68 | $16,115.68 |
+$369.58 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $443.80 | 36 | $16,115.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $429.54 | 36 | $15,597.86 | $15,597.86 |
$-517.82 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $429.19 | 36 | $15,597.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $446.14 | 36 | $16,213.87 | $16,213.87 |
+$616.01 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 11:25am ET | $531.23 | 31 | $16,213.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $551.24 | 31 | $16,824.71 | $16,824.71 |
+$610.84 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $535.63 | 31 | $16,824.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $560.00 | 31 | $17,590.20 | $17,590.20 |
+$765.49 (+4.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $554.34 | 32 | $17,590.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $564.47 | 32 | $17,911.64 | $17,911.64 |
+$321.44 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $559.40 | 32 | $17,911.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $578.61 | 32 | $18,526.73 | $18,526.73 |
+$615.09 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $548.05 | 34 | $18,526.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $559.53 | 34 | $18,914.81 | $18,914.81 |
+$388.08 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $550.57 | 34 | $18,914.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $572.78 | 34 | $19,677.83 | $19,677.83 |
+$763.02 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $557.55 | 35 | $19,677.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $592.36 | 35 | $20,906.43 | $20,906.43 |
+$1,228.60 (+6.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $575.01 | 36 | $20,906.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $541.00 | 36 | $19,669.88 | $19,669.88 |
$-1,236.55 (-5.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $525.10 | 37 | $19,669.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $522.04 | 37 | $19,555.24 | $19,555.24 |
$-114.64 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $513.88 | 38 | $19,555.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $478.87 | 38 | $18,223.14 | $18,223.14 |
$-1,332.10 (-6.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $471.26 | 39 | $18,223.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $492.81 | 39 | $19,056.46 | $19,056.46 |
+$833.32 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $487.89 | 39 | $19,056.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $485.27 | 39 | $18,953.93 | $18,953.93 |
$-102.53 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $495.55 | 38 | $18,953.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $506.16 | 38 | $19,359.81 | $19,359.81 |
+$405.88 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $492.75 | 39 | $19,359.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $495.74 | 39 | $19,477.28 | $19,477.28 |
+$117.47 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $485.30 | 40 | $19,477.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $493.18 | 40 | $19,793.74 | $19,793.74 |
+$316.46 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $485.17 | 41 | $19,793.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $482.75 | 41 | $19,695.01 | $19,695.01 |
$-98.73 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $475.55 | 41 | $19,695.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $479.19 | 41 | $19,845.55 | $19,845.55 |
+$150.54 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $472.23 | 42 | $19,845.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.43 | 42 | $19,055.37 | $19,055.37 |
$-790.18 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $450.62 | 42 | $19,055.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $452.00 | 42 | $19,113.73 | $19,113.73 |
+$58.36 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $454.06 | 42 | $19,113.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $467.76 | 42 | $19,690.22 | $19,690.22 |
+$576.49 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $461.85 | 43 | $19,690.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $452.03 | 43 | $19,271.56 | $19,271.56 |
$-418.66 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $471.36 | 41 | $19,271.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.79 | 41 | $18,553.21 | $18,553.21 |
$-718.35 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,553.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,553.21
Total Return:
+85.53%