IWM Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 36 trades in period
+52.40%
Last Year Return
$14,968.63
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,821.90
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
65
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
34.8/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
68.3/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 65.0
30-Day Momentum
49
+10.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.5
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,172
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,821.90
Current Value
$14,968.63
Period P&L
$5,146.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
24 /
12
Best Trade
+5.87%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$895,363.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,146.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,146.73
Gross Return
+52.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+52.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $9,821.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 2:10pm ET | $196.39 | 50 | $9,821.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $207.91 | 50 | $10,398.31 | $10,398.31 |
+$576.41 (+5.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $207.21 | 50 | $10,398.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $203.23 | 50 | $10,198.58 | $10,198.58 |
$-199.73 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $203.97 | 50 | $10,198.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $208.52 | 50 | $10,425.83 | $10,425.83 |
+$227.25 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $210.58 | 50 | $10,425.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $209.62 | 50 | $10,378.30 | $10,378.30 |
$-47.53 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $207.26 | 50 | $10,378.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $215.40 | 50 | $10,785.90 | $10,785.90 |
+$407.60 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 2:35pm ET | $214.47 | 50 | $10,785.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $221.04 | 50 | $11,116.31 | $11,116.31 |
+$330.41 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $222.89 | 50 | $11,116.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $221.02 | 50 | $11,023.05 | $11,023.05 |
$-93.26 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET | $221.79 | 50 | $11,023.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $219.69 | 50 | $10,918.68 | $10,918.68 |
$-104.37 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $220.15 | 50 | $10,918.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $226.78 | 50 | $11,247.51 | $11,247.51 |
+$328.83 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $227.95 | 49 | $11,247.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $226.20 | 49 | $11,161.41 | $11,161.41 |
$-86.10 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.95 | 48 | $11,161.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $237.76 | 48 | $11,440.99 | $11,440.99 |
+$279.58 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 10:25am ET | $236.94 | 48 | $11,440.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $242.93 | 48 | $11,730.24 | $11,730.24 |
+$289.25 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $238.94 | 49 | $11,730.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $241.96 | 49 | $11,878.50 | $11,878.50 |
+$148.26 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $242.00 | 49 | $11,878.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $250.34 | 49 | $12,287.87 | $12,287.87 |
+$409.37 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $245.89 | 50 | $12,287.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $246.98 | 50 | $12,342.34 | $12,342.34 |
+$54.47 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $245.95 | 50 | $12,342.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $245.42 | 50 | $12,315.74 | $12,315.74 |
$-26.60 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $242.99 | 51 | $12,315.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $244.25 | 51 | $12,379.86 | $12,379.86 |
+$64.12 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $241.11 | 51 | $12,379.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $233.46 | 51 | $11,987.07 | $11,987.07 |
$-392.79 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $235.92 | 51 | $11,987.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $245.13 | 51 | $12,455.03 | $12,455.03 |
+$467.96 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $246.09 | 51 | $12,455.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $251.82 | 51 | $12,745.03 | $12,745.03 |
+$290.00 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $249.09 | 51 | $12,745.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $253.59 | 51 | $12,975.54 | $12,975.54 |
+$230.51 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.23 | 49 | $12,975.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $264.82 | 49 | $13,103.70 | $13,103.70 |
+$128.16 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $261.06 | 50 | $13,103.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $262.82 | 50 | $13,192.29 | $13,192.29 |
+$88.59 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $259.52 | 51 | $13,192.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $266.86 | 51 | $13,565.41 | $13,565.41 |
+$373.12 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $263.17 | 52 | $13,565.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $262.87 | 52 | $13,549.69 | $13,549.69 |
$-15.72 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $260.22 | 52 | $13,549.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $264.34 | 52 | $13,764.22 | $13,764.22 |
+$214.53 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $260.73 | 53 | $13,764.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $266.09 | 53 | $14,047.18 | $14,047.18 |
+$282.96 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.39 | 54 | $14,047.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $262.17 | 54 | $14,035.40 | $14,035.40 |
$-11.78 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.07 | 54 | $14,035.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $253.05 | 54 | $13,709.26 | $13,709.26 |
$-326.14 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $251.47 | 55 | $13,709.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $249.16 | 55 | $13,583.33 | $13,583.33 |
$-125.93 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $247.64 | 55 | $13,583.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $248.13 | 55 | $13,609.93 | $13,609.93 |
+$26.60 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.10 | 56 | $13,609.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $243.25 | 56 | $13,507.20 | $13,507.20 |
$-102.73 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $242.49 | 56 | $13,507.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $252.32 | 56 | $14,054.18 | $14,054.18 |
+$546.98 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $250.00 | 56 | $14,054.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $261.08 | 56 | $14,677.06 | $14,677.06 |
+$622.88 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $276.28 | 53 | $14,677.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $276.63 | 53 | $14,695.65 | $14,695.65 |
+$18.59 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $274.29 | 54 | $14,695.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $279.39 | 54 | $14,968.63 | $14,968.63 |
+$272.98 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,968.63
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,968.63
Total Return:
+49.69%