Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:14:04

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 63.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 62.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-59 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,760
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$19,114.33
Current Value
$16,079.15
Period P&L
$-3,035.18
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
31 / 31
Best Trade
+10.81%
Worst Trade
-10.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,349,649.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,035.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,035.18
Gross Return
-15.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $19,114.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 10:10am ET $689.72 28 $19,274.18
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $712.16 28 $19,901.26 $19,901.26 +$627.08
(+3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:45am ET $726.95 27 $19,901.26
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $719.01 27 $19,683.77 $19,683.77 $-217.49
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 9:40am ET $727.84 27 $19,683.77
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $720.86 27 $19,495.00 $19,495.00 $-188.77
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 10:40am ET $714.53 27 $19,495.00
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $701.57 27 $19,141.40 $19,141.40 $-353.60
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 10:05am ET $694.32 28 $19,141.40
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $704.67 28 $19,426.87 $19,426.87 +$285.47
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 9:50am ET $700.22 28 $19,426.87
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $749.82 28 $20,802.97 $20,802.97 +$1,376.10
(+7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:40am ET $768.63 27 $20,802.97
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $761.87 27 $20,620.04 $20,620.04 $-182.93
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $765.75 27 $20,620.04
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $747.48 27 $20,128.07 $20,128.07 $-491.97
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:50am ET $739.69 27 $20,128.07
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $753.40 27 $20,501.28 $20,501.28 +$373.21
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:45am ET $740.51 28 $20,501.28
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $736.90 28 $20,401.22 $20,401.22 $-100.06
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 11:00am ET $747.07 27 $20,401.22
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $765.87 27 $20,914.62 $20,914.62 +$513.40
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:40am ET $753.77 28 $20,914.62
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $755.74 28 $20,969.28 $20,969.28 +$54.66
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:25am ET $771.14 27 $20,969.28
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $778.59 27 $21,171.86 $21,171.86 +$202.58
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET $760.75 28 $21,171.86
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $748.91 28 $20,842.49 $20,842.49 $-329.37
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET $740.89 28 $20,842.49
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $734.39 28 $20,659.63 $20,659.63 $-182.86
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $716.76 29 $20,659.63
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $710.41 29 $20,476.53 $20,476.53 $-183.10
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $696.80 29 $20,476.53
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $717.83 29 $21,094.53 $21,094.53 +$618.00
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $717.31 29 $21,094.53
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $708.77 29 $20,843.39 $20,843.39 $-251.14
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:50am ET $715.04 29 $20,843.39
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $716.67 29 $20,890.90 $20,890.90 +$47.51
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 10:35am ET $746.11 28 $20,890.90
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $666.08 28 $18,650.08 $18,650.08 $-2,240.82
(-10.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:40am ET $660.69 28 $18,650.08
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $627.42 28 $17,711.05 $17,711.05 $-939.03
(-5.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $631.08 28 $17,711.05
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $631.78 28 $17,730.70 $17,730.70 +$19.65
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $626.75 28 $17,730.70
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $609.94 28 $17,255.08 $17,255.08 $-475.62
(-2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $595.88 29 $17,255.08
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $597.69 29 $17,307.49 $17,307.49 +$52.41
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $589.58 29 $17,307.49
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $594.38 29 $17,448.40 $17,448.40 +$140.91
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $639.18 27 $17,448.40
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $639.74 27 $17,463.69 $17,463.69 +$15.29
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $657.18 27 $17,463.69
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $652.78 27 $17,346.90 $17,346.90 $-116.79
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET $644.01 27 $17,346.90
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $657.15 27 $17,700.84 $17,700.84 +$353.94
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $658.79 27 $17,700.84
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $664.84 27 $17,863.40 $17,863.40 +$162.56
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $651.83 27 $17,863.40
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $660.46 27 $18,099.91 $18,099.91 +$236.51
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $654.79 28 $18,099.91
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $653.01 28 $18,050.71 $18,050.71 $-49.20
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $639.08 28 $18,050.71
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $620.93 28 $17,538.20 $17,538.20 $-512.51
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $605.91 29 $17,538.20
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $647.81 29 $18,751.16 $18,751.16 +$1,212.96
(+6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET $666.55 28 $18,751.16
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $738.58 28 $20,777.63 $20,777.63 +$2,026.47
(+10.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $724.20 29 $20,777.63
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $691.63 29 $19,843.18 $19,843.18 $-934.45
(-4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $680.31 29 $19,843.18
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $661.28 29 $19,287.97 $19,287.97 $-555.21
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $675.21 29 $19,287.97
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $649.72 29 $18,559.68 $18,559.68 $-728.29
(-3.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $638.09 29 $18,559.68
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $639.49 29 $18,600.38 $18,600.38 +$40.70
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $635.31 29 $18,600.38
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $644.79 29 $18,878.07 $18,878.07 +$277.69
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $648.47 29 $18,878.07
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $652.38 29 $18,992.04 $18,992.04 +$113.97
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET $648.56 29 $18,992.04
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $654.10 29 $19,154.27 $19,154.27 +$162.23
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $647.53 30 $19,154.27
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $661.02 30 $19,553.16 $19,553.16 +$398.89
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $647.48 30 $19,553.16
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $653.51 30 $19,735.11 $19,735.11 +$181.95
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $645.21 31 $19,735.11
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $626.88 31 $19,174.45 $19,174.45 $-560.66
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:35am ET $629.43 30 $19,174.45
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $605.95 30 $18,459.17 $18,459.17 $-715.28
(-3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $599.99 31 $18,459.17
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $592.60 31 $18,232.03 $18,232.03 $-227.14
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $581.09 31 $18,232.03
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $536.85 31 $16,844.13 $16,844.13 $-1,387.90
(-7.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:00am ET $551.93 31 $16,844.13
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $573.89 31 $17,514.32 $17,514.32 +$670.19
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $574.83 30 $17,514.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.70 30 $18,637.55 $18,637.55 +$1,123.23
(+6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $625.37 30 $18,637.55
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $662.33 30 $19,738.90 $19,738.90 +$1,101.35
(+5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $674.00 29 $19,738.90
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $675.11 29 $19,771.40 $19,771.40 +$32.50
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $662.82 30 $19,771.40
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $678.79 30 $20,247.92 $20,247.92 +$476.52
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET $671.53 30 $20,247.92
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $612.83 30 $18,478.13 $18,478.13 $-1,769.79
(-8.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
54 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:05am ET $611.61 30 $18,478.13
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $605.02 30 $18,278.88 $18,278.88 $-199.25
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
55 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $616.77 30 $18,278.88
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $599.37 30 $17,763.20 $17,763.20 $-515.68
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
56 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $610.45 29 $17,763.20
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $602.60 29 $17,534.78 $17,534.78 $-228.42
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
57 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:00am ET $596.28 29 $17,534.78
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.97 29 $17,996.03 $17,996.03 +$461.25
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
58 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:00am ET $634.28 28 $17,996.03
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.54 28 $17,038.61 $17,038.61 $-957.42
(-5.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $601.78 28 $17,038.61
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $627.54 28 $17,768.03 $17,768.03 +$729.42
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $615.50 29 $17,768.03
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $585.63 29 $16,905.75 $16,905.75 $-862.28
(-4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $580.16 29 $16,905.75
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $566.25 29 $16,500.42 $16,500.42 $-405.33
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $593.45 28 $16,500.42
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $578.30 28 $16,079.15 $16,079.15 $-421.27
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,079.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,079.15
Total Return: +60.79%
Back to Wrecking Ball