MSFT Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 37 trades in period
+11.36%
Last Year Return
$16,633.22
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$14,936.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
65
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
67.0/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 65.0
30-Day Momentum
39
+5.2%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.8
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,755
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$14,936.44
Current Value
$16,633.22
Period P&L
$1,696.78
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
19 /
18
Best Trade
+4.10%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,140,585.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,696.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,696.78
Gross Return
+11.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,936.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $433.26 | 34 | $14,936.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $438.24 | 34 | $15,108.30 | $15,108.30 |
+$171.86 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $450.36 | 34 | $15,108.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $457.38 | 34 | $15,343.80 | $15,343.80 |
+$235.50 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET | $492.40 | 31 | $15,343.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $498.85 | 31 | $15,544.70 | $15,544.70 |
+$200.90 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 10:30am ET | $536.87 | 29 | $15,544.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $535.47 | 29 | $15,504.23 | $15,504.23 |
$-40.47 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $511.22 | 30 | $15,504.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $504.15 | 30 | $15,289.81 | $15,289.81 |
$-214.42 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $505.64 | 30 | $15,289.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $505.39 | 30 | $15,282.28 | $15,282.28 |
$-7.53 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $501.07 | 30 | $15,282.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $498.45 | 30 | $15,202.37 | $15,202.37 |
$-79.91 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $507.34 | 30 | $15,202.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $517.94 | 30 | $15,520.00 | $15,520.00 |
+$317.63 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $511.74 | 30 | $15,520.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $528.52 | 30 | $16,028.90 | $16,028.90 |
+$508.90 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $516.43 | 31 | $16,028.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $513.71 | 31 | $15,944.48 | $15,944.48 |
$-84.42 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:55am ET | $538.74 | 30 | $15,944.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $517.82 | 30 | $15,325.33 | $15,325.33 |
$-619.15 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $509.83 | 30 | $15,325.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $497.36 | 30 | $14,950.49 | $14,950.49 |
$-374.84 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:20am ET | $500.45 | 30 | $14,950.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $510.40 | 30 | $15,247.74 | $15,247.74 |
+$297.25 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $499.75 | 31 | $15,247.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.26 | 31 | $14,592.06 | $14,592.06 |
$-655.68 (-4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $469.05 | 31 | $14,592.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $485.49 | 31 | $15,103.51 | $15,103.51 |
+$511.45 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $486.21 | 31 | $15,103.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $477.74 | 31 | $14,840.40 | $14,840.40 |
$-263.11 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $480.70 | 31 | $14,840.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.35 | 31 | $14,768.00 | $14,768.00 |
$-72.40 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $478.95 | 31 | $14,768.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $478.51 | 31 | $14,754.43 | $14,754.43 |
$-13.57 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $478.93 | 31 | $14,754.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $477.19 | 31 | $14,700.83 | $14,700.83 |
$-53.60 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $464.66 | 32 | $14,700.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $459.87 | 32 | $14,549.28 | $14,549.28 |
$-151.55 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $449.43 | 32 | $14,549.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $465.81 | 32 | $15,079.68 | $15,079.68 |
+$530.40 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $432.00 | 35 | $15,079.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $423.31 | 35 | $14,776.34 | $14,776.34 |
$-303.34 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.70 | 36 | $14,776.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $413.50 | 36 | $15,060.43 | $15,060.43 |
+$284.09 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $409.70 | 37 | $15,060.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $400.82 | 37 | $14,734.00 | $14,734.00 |
$-326.43 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $396.91 | 37 | $14,734.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $398.48 | 37 | $14,792.28 | $14,792.28 |
+$58.28 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $388.43 | 38 | $14,792.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $400.58 | 38 | $15,254.98 | $15,254.98 |
+$462.70 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $390.58 | 39 | $15,254.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $403.69 | 39 | $15,767.02 | $15,767.02 |
+$512.04 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.76 | 39 | $15,767.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $409.41 | 39 | $15,948.16 | $15,948.16 |
+$181.14 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $404.66 | 39 | $15,948.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $402.42 | 39 | $15,859.64 | $15,859.64 |
$-88.52 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $397.94 | 40 | $15,859.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $399.43 | 40 | $15,919.22 | $15,919.22 |
+$59.58 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $384.38 | 41 | $15,919.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $372.54 | 41 | $15,428.86 | $15,428.86 |
$-490.36 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.72 | 43 | $15,428.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $370.52 | 43 | $15,804.00 | $15,804.00 |
+$375.14 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $365.58 | 43 | $15,804.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $371.62 | 43 | $16,065.11 | $16,065.11 |
+$261.11 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $368.73 | 44 | $16,065.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $383.86 | 44 | $16,724.09 | $16,724.09 |
+$658.98 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $423.78 | 39 | $16,724.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $423.89 | 39 | $16,728.43 | $16,728.43 |
+$4.34 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.14 | 40 | $16,728.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $425.05 | 40 | $16,964.71 | $16,964.71 |
+$236.28 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $422.21 | 40 | $16,964.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $413.96 | 40 | $16,633.22 | $16,633.22 |
$-331.49 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,633.22
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,633.22
Total Return:
+66.33%