NVDA Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+39.72%
Last Year Return
$35,646.15
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$25,511.73
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
71
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.0/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
73.6/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 70.8
30-Day Momentum
35
+10.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.7
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,944
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$25,511.73
Current Value
$35,646.15
Period P&L
$10,134.42
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
19 /
14
Best Trade
+10.00%
Worst Trade
-6.00%
Avg Trade Return
+1.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,134,314.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,134.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,134.42
Gross Return
+39.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.72%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $25,511.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.49 | 229 | $25,511.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $116.61 | 229 | $26,683.32 | $26,683.32 |
+$1,171.59 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $134.00 | 199 | $26,683.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $135.49 | 199 | $26,981.03 | $26,981.03 |
+$297.71 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $136.31 | 198 | $26,981.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $141.84 | 198 | $28,075.63 | $28,075.63 |
+$1,094.60 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $141.79 | 198 | $28,075.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $145.47 | 198 | $28,804.61 | $28,804.61 |
+$728.98 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $155.20 | 186 | $28,804.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $158.25 | 186 | $29,370.68 | $29,370.68 |
+$566.07 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $168.53 | 174 | $29,370.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $173.48 | 174 | $30,233.36 | $30,233.36 |
+$862.68 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 2:10pm ET | $176.63 | 171 | $30,233.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $178.26 | 171 | $30,513.23 | $30,513.23 |
+$279.87 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $178.16 | 171 | $30,513.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $175.39 | 171 | $30,039.66 | $30,039.66 |
$-473.57 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 9:50am ET | $177.87 | 169 | $30,039.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $170.62 | 169 | $28,815.24 | $28,815.24 |
$-1,224.42 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $167.23 | 172 | $28,815.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.30 | 172 | $30,550.39 | $30,550.39 |
+$1,735.15 (+6.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $170.88 | 179 | $30,550.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $183.61 | 179 | $32,826.29 | $32,826.29 |
+$2,275.90 (+7.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $173.14 | 190 | $32,826.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $186.58 | 190 | $35,374.43 | $35,374.43 |
+$2,548.14 (+7.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:15am ET | $190.43 | 186 | $35,374.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.88 | 186 | $33,413.72 | $33,413.72 |
$-1,960.71 (-5.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $201.86 | 166 | $33,413.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $198.71 | 166 | $32,892.66 | $32,892.66 |
$-521.06 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $196.08 | 168 | $32,892.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $199.03 | 168 | $33,387.53 | $33,387.53 |
+$494.87 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $192.53 | 173 | $33,387.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $190.28 | 173 | $32,997.35 | $32,997.35 |
$-390.18 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $181.08 | 182 | $32,997.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $178.94 | 182 | $32,607.17 | $32,607.17 |
$-390.18 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $173.99 | 187 | $32,607.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.93 | 187 | $33,720.38 | $33,720.38 |
+$1,113.21 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $178.48 | 189 | $33,720.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.52 | 189 | $33,538.06 | $33,538.06 |
$-182.32 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $186.64 | 180 | $33,538.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.81 | 180 | $33,927.98 | $33,927.98 |
+$389.92 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $185.05 | 183 | $33,927.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $185.81 | 183 | $34,067.32 | $34,067.32 |
+$139.34 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $181.68 | 188 | $34,067.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $178.21 | 188 | $33,417.57 | $33,417.57 |
$-649.75 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $179.47 | 186 | $33,417.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $186.38 | 186 | $34,704.22 | $34,704.22 |
+$1,286.65 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $188.37 | 184 | $34,704.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $180.33 | 184 | $33,223.86 | $33,223.86 |
$-1,480.36 (-4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $171.46 | 194 | $33,223.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.61 | 194 | $36,547.02 | $36,547.02 |
+$3,323.16 (+10.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $187.30 | 195 | $36,547.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.63 | 195 | $35,634.83 | $35,634.83 |
$-912.19 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.01 | 187 | $35,634.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $180.18 | 187 | $33,614.38 | $33,614.38 |
$-2,020.45 (-5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $179.30 | 187 | $33,614.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $184.39 | 187 | $34,567.67 | $34,567.67 |
+$953.29 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.66 | 188 | $34,567.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $172.64 | 188 | $32,492.65 | $32,492.65 |
$-2,075.02 (-6.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $175.15 | 186 | $32,492.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $174.24 | 186 | $32,322.91 | $32,322.91 |
$-169.74 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $171.49 | 188 | $32,322.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.70 | 188 | $34,247.34 | $34,247.34 |
+$1,924.43 (+6.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $197.50 | 173 | $34,247.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $213.29 | 173 | $36,985.62 | $36,985.62 |
+$2,738.28 (+8.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $203.64 | 182 | $36,985.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $196.26 | 182 | $35,646.15 | $35,646.15 |
$-1,339.47 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$35,646.15
Net Profit/Loss:
+$25,646.15
Total Return:
+256.46%