PLTR Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 29 trades in period
+100.32%
Last Year Return
$144,428.49
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$72,100.09
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
83
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
25.0/25
Win Rate
10.6/15
Profit Factor
12.3/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality
90.4/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 82.9
30-Day Momentum
19
+4.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.0
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-64 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,817
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$72,100.09
Current Value
$144,428.49
Period P&L
$72,328.40
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
20 /
9
Best Trade
+17.74%
Worst Trade
-10.36%
Avg Trade Return
+2.63%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$6,505,024.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$72,328.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$72,328.40
Gross Return
+100.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+100.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $72,100.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.01 | 650 | $72,100.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $117.28 | 650 | $76,177.33 | $76,177.33 |
+$4,077.24 (+5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET | $121.56 | 627 | $76,177.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $123.36 | 627 | $77,305.33 | $77,305.33 |
+$1,128.00 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:50pm ET | $123.99 | 623 | $77,305.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.97 | 623 | $81,035.83 | $81,035.83 |
+$3,730.50 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 12:45pm ET | $124.78 | 649 | $81,035.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.81 | 649 | $86,250.68 | $86,250.68 |
+$5,214.85 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $138.89 | 621 | $86,250.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.14 | 621 | $82,061.88 | $82,061.88 |
$-4,188.80 (-4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $145.40 | 564 | $82,061.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 1:35pm ET | $159.05 | 564 | $89,768.31 | $89,768.31 |
+$7,706.43 (+9.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.53 | 589 | $89,768.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.59 | 589 | $105,693.90 | $105,693.90 |
+$15,925.59 (+17.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $174.03 | 607 | $105,693.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $156.01 | 607 | $94,749.18 | $94,749.18 |
$-10,944.72 (-10.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.98 | 628 | $94,749.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $158.10 | 628 | $99,217.42 | $99,217.42 |
+$4,468.24 (+4.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:20am ET | $149.46 | 664 | $99,217.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $166.69 | 664 | $110,654.63 | $110,654.63 |
+$11,437.21 (+11.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $178.79 | 619 | $110,654.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $183.54 | 619 | $113,594.44 | $113,594.44 |
+$2,939.81 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $177.90 | 639 | $113,594.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.63 | 639 | $114,699.10 | $114,699.10 |
+$1,104.66 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:45am ET | $173.45 | 661 | $114,699.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $189.15 | 661 | $125,081.20 | $125,081.20 |
+$10,382.10 (+9.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $188.05 | 665 | $125,081.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.98 | 665 | $118,383.15 | $118,383.15 |
$-6,698.05 (-5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $184.97 | 640 | $118,383.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $171.21 | 640 | $109,576.58 | $109,576.58 |
$-8,806.57 (-7.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $164.91 | 664 | $109,576.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $163.56 | 664 | $108,679.49 | $108,679.49 |
$-897.09 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $182.83 | 594 | $108,679.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $187.67 | 594 | $111,558.97 | $111,558.97 |
+$2,879.48 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:25am ET | $180.48 | 618 | $111,558.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $193.93 | 618 | $119,872.73 | $119,872.73 |
+$8,313.76 (+7.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $173.23 | 692 | $119,872.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.89 | 692 | $114,796.87 | $114,796.87 |
$-5,075.86 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $152.54 | 753 | $114,796.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $157.87 | 753 | $118,807.98 | $118,807.98 |
+$4,011.11 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $132.89 | 894 | $118,807.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $139.49 | 894 | $124,708.60 | $124,708.60 |
+$5,900.62 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $129.14 | 966 | $124,708.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $131.06 | 966 | $126,562.82 | $126,562.82 |
+$1,854.22 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.53 | 977 | $126,562.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $135.76 | 977 | $132,650.10 | $132,650.10 |
+$6,087.28 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $138.90 | 955 | $132,650.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $157.15 | 955 | $150,073.52 | $150,073.52 |
+$17,423.42 (+13.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $154.86 | 969 | $150,073.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.29 | 969 | $138,861.12 | $138,861.12 |
$-11,212.40 (-7.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $140.91 | 985 | $138,861.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.52 | 985 | $138,481.71 | $138,481.71 |
$-379.41 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $134.37 | 1,031 | $138,481.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $135.88 | 1,031 | $140,037.93 | $140,037.93 |
+$1,556.22 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $146.55 | 956 | $140,037.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $141.18 | 956 | $134,906.93 | $134,906.93 |
$-5,131.00 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.16 | 991 | $134,906.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.77 | 991 | $144,428.49 | $144,428.49 |
+$9,521.56 (+7.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$144,428.49
Net Profit/Loss:
+$134,428.49
Total Return:
+1344.28%