TMO Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+34.95%
Last Year Return
$15,610.47
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$11,567.87
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
63
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
69.7/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 63.3
30-Day Momentum
46
+9.1%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,584
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
253 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,567.87
Current Value
$15,610.47
Period P&L
$4,042.60
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
21 /
12
Best Trade
+17.13%
Worst Trade
-5.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$920,472.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,042.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,042.60
Gross Return
+34.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 253 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,567.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $422.96 | 27 | $11,567.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $414.04 | 27 | $11,323.91 | $11,323.91 |
$-243.96 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $406.72 | 28 | $11,323.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $403.54 | 28 | $11,235.37 | $11,235.37 |
$-88.54 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $395.06 | 28 | $11,235.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $398.36 | 28 | $11,329.22 | $11,329.22 |
+$93.85 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 10:05am ET | $408.21 | 28 | $11,329.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $392.50 | 28 | $10,893.35 | $10,893.35 |
$-435.87 (-3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $405.51 | 27 | $10,893.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $429.33 | 27 | $11,533.23 | $11,533.23 |
+$639.88 (+5.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 10:30am ET | $419.20 | 28 | $11,533.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $425.25 | 28 | $11,699.82 | $11,699.82 |
+$166.59 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $405.69 | 29 | $11,699.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $475.20 | 29 | $13,704.44 | $13,704.44 |
+$2,004.62 (+17.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 3:30pm ET | $474.63 | 29 | $13,704.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $466.65 | 29 | $13,474.03 | $13,474.03 |
$-230.41 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $456.11 | 30 | $13,474.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $462.12 | 30 | $13,651.57 | $13,651.57 |
+$177.54 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $493.47 | 28 | $13,651.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $490.20 | 28 | $13,561.11 | $13,561.11 |
$-90.46 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:40am ET | $483.71 | 28 | $13,561.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $492.49 | 28 | $13,807.41 | $13,807.41 |
+$246.30 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $469.43 | 29 | $13,807.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $474.92 | 29 | $13,968.89 | $13,968.89 |
+$161.48 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $463.86 | 30 | $13,968.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $462.00 | 30 | $13,913.03 | $13,913.03 |
$-55.86 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $528.68 | 26 | $13,913.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $539.20 | 26 | $14,190.01 | $14,190.01 |
+$276.98 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 3:30pm ET | $557.31 | 25 | $14,190.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $564.83 | 25 | $14,381.48 | $14,381.48 |
+$191.47 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $571.50 | 25 | $14,381.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $580.12 | 25 | $14,598.40 | $14,598.40 |
+$216.92 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $559.41 | 26 | $14,598.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $587.56 | 26 | $15,333.00 | $15,333.00 |
+$734.60 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $573.43 | 27 | $15,333.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $563.19 | 27 | $15,059.19 | $15,059.19 |
$-273.81 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $555.22 | 27 | $15,059.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $579.83 | 27 | $15,726.69 | $15,726.69 |
+$667.50 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $605.14 | 26 | $15,726.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $606.79 | 26 | $15,769.57 | $15,769.57 |
+$42.88 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $611.41 | 26 | $15,769.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $625.87 | 26 | $16,142.52 | $16,142.52 |
+$372.95 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $614.42 | 26 | $16,142.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $581.97 | 26 | $15,290.09 | $15,290.09 |
$-852.43 (-5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $558.04 | 27 | $15,290.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $539.72 | 27 | $14,788.13 | $14,788.13 |
$-501.96 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $516.78 | 29 | $14,788.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $504.91 | 29 | $14,448.46 | $14,448.46 |
$-339.67 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $510.05 | 28 | $14,448.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $512.85 | 28 | $14,527.78 | $14,527.78 |
+$79.32 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $504.61 | 29 | $14,527.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $500.46 | 29 | $14,408.30 | $14,408.30 |
$-119.48 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $493.02 | 29 | $14,408.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $471.15 | 29 | $13,769.17 | $13,769.17 |
$-639.13 (-4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.93 | 30 | $13,769.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $479.30 | 30 | $14,194.74 | $14,194.74 |
+$425.57 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.00 | 30 | $14,194.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $473.74 | 30 | $14,307.69 | $14,307.69 |
+$112.95 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $479.98 | 30 | $14,307.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $486.87 | 30 | $14,513.07 | $14,513.07 |
+$205.38 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $493.13 | 29 | $14,513.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $527.58 | 29 | $15,526.80 | $15,526.80 |
+$1,013.73 (+7.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $524.27 | 30 | $15,526.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $525.95 | 30 | $15,576.55 | $15,576.55 |
+$49.75 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.67 | 33 | $15,576.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $471.69 | 33 | $15,610.47 | $15,610.47 |
+$33.92 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,610.47
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,610.47
Total Return:
+56.10%