TQQQ Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 38 trades in period
+141.43%
Last Year Return
$49,123.19
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$20,346.52
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score PRO Scored May 5, 2026
78
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.5/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
8.3/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality
81.8/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 78.5
30-Day Momentum
54
+21.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.4
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,990
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$20,346.52
Current Value
$49,123.19
Period P&L
$28,776.67
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
27 /
11
Best Trade
+10.83%
Worst Trade
-5.74%
Avg Trade Return
+2.44%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,455,071.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$28,776.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$28,776.67
Gross Return
+141.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+141.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $20,346.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.20 | 721 | $20,346.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $29.56 | 721 | $21,325.66 | $21,325.66 |
+$979.14 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.46 | 619 | $21,325.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.96 | 619 | $21,017.76 | $21,017.76 |
$-307.90 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.84 | 640 | $21,017.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $35.01 | 640 | $22,408.28 | $22,408.28 |
+$1,390.52 (+6.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:50pm ET | $33.58 | 667 | $22,408.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $36.67 | 667 | $24,473.91 | $24,473.91 |
+$2,065.63 (+9.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 12:55pm ET | $36.60 | 669 | $24,473.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $37.28 | 669 | $24,930.35 | $24,930.35 |
+$456.44 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $36.47 | 684 | $24,930.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $36.76 | 684 | $25,134.22 | $25,134.22 |
+$203.87 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $36.42 | 690 | $25,134.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $39.05 | 690 | $26,949.24 | $26,949.24 |
+$1,815.02 (+7.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $42.84 | 629 | $26,949.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $44.21 | 629 | $27,807.92 | $27,807.92 |
+$858.68 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.20 | 659 | $27,807.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $42.82 | 659 | $28,216.52 | $28,216.52 |
+$408.60 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $42.96 | 657 | $28,216.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $45.20 | 657 | $29,687.94 | $29,687.94 |
+$1,471.42 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:55am ET | $44.94 | 661 | $29,687.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $44.53 | 661 | $29,417.09 | $29,417.09 |
$-270.85 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $45.43 | 648 | $29,417.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $46.95 | 648 | $30,398.09 | $30,398.09 |
+$981.00 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $49.07 | 619 | $30,398.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.32 | 619 | $31,788.83 | $31,788.83 |
+$1,390.74 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $52.53 | 605 | $31,788.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $50.57 | 605 | $30,602.72 | $30,602.72 |
$-1,186.11 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $50.26 | 609 | $30,602.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.99 | 609 | $31,653.24 | $31,653.24 |
+$1,050.52 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.23 | 563 | $31,653.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $53.44 | 563 | $30,079.87 | $30,079.87 |
$-1,573.37 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $53.60 | 561 | $30,079.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.03 | 561 | $28,637.47 | $28,637.47 |
$-1,442.40 (-4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET | $49.78 | 575 | $28,637.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $47.48 | 575 | $27,314.32 | $27,314.32 |
$-1,323.15 (-4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $49.26 | 555 | $27,314.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $54.60 | 555 | $30,273.46 | $30,273.46 |
+$2,959.14 (+10.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.18 | 549 | $30,273.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.02 | 549 | $28,537.04 | $28,537.04 |
$-1,736.42 (-5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $50.46 | 566 | $28,537.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $53.55 | 566 | $30,287.55 | $30,287.55 |
+$1,750.51 (+6.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.26 | 580 | $30,287.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $55.01 | 580 | $31,881.33 | $31,881.33 |
+$1,593.78 (+5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $53.74 | 593 | $31,881.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $54.14 | 593 | $32,121.62 | $32,121.62 |
+$240.29 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $50.83 | 632 | $32,121.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $54.39 | 632 | $34,372.89 | $34,372.89 |
+$2,251.27 (+7.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $55.19 | 623 | $34,372.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $55.12 | 623 | $34,329.29 | $34,329.29 |
$-43.60 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.63 | 706 | $34,329.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.75 | 706 | $36,529.23 | $36,529.23 |
+$2,199.94 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $49.32 | 741 | $36,529.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $48.32 | 741 | $35,790.80 | $35,790.80 |
$-738.43 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $46.76 | 765 | $35,790.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $48.72 | 765 | $37,293.08 | $37,293.08 |
+$1,502.28 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $49.74 | 750 | $37,293.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $49.80 | 750 | $37,338.06 | $37,338.06 |
+$44.98 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.80 | 798 | $37,338.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $49.70 | 798 | $39,651.50 | $39,651.50 |
+$2,313.44 (+6.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.60 | 833 | $39,651.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $49.22 | 833 | $41,007.21 | $41,007.21 |
+$1,355.71 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $47.49 | 863 | $41,007.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.40 | 863 | $40,925.19 | $40,925.19 |
$-82.02 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.75 | 915 | $40,925.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $44.83 | 915 | $40,998.44 | $40,998.44 |
+$73.25 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $43.57 | 941 | $40,998.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $41.21 | 941 | $38,777.73 | $38,777.73 |
$-2,220.71 (-5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.00 | 969 | $38,777.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $41.74 | 969 | $40,464.56 | $40,464.56 |
+$1,686.83 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.02 | 986 | $40,464.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $44.01 | 986 | $43,413.48 | $43,413.48 |
+$2,948.92 (+7.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $57.88 | 750 | $43,413.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $62.62 | 750 | $46,964.93 | $46,964.93 |
+$3,551.45 (+8.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $60.76 | 773 | $46,964.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.55 | 773 | $49,123.19 | $49,123.19 |
+$2,158.26 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$49,123.19
Net Profit/Loss:
+$39,123.19
Total Return:
+391.23%