TSLA Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 40 trades in period
+96.31%
Last Year Return
$35,449.26
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$18,057.71
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
74
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
8.1/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality
75.8/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 73.9
30-Day Momentum
0
-5.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-74 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
41,145
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$18,057.71
Current Value
$35,449.26
Period P&L
$17,391.54
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.55
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
27 /
13
Best Trade
+8.81%
Worst Trade
-5.09%
Avg Trade Return
+1.71%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,219,944.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$17,391.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$17,391.54
Gross Return
+96.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+96.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $18,057.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $281.29 | 66 | $18,430.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $276.17 | 66 | $18,095.72 | $18,095.72 |
$-335.15 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $336.97 | 54 | $18,095.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $341.93 | 54 | $18,362.19 | $18,362.19 |
+$266.47 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 3:00pm ET | $342.44 | 54 | $18,362.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $340.98 | 54 | $18,283.90 | $18,283.90 |
$-78.29 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $350.88 | 52 | $18,283.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $344.44 | 52 | $17,948.23 | $17,948.23 |
$-335.67 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $319.77 | 56 | $17,948.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.66 | 56 | $17,324.39 | $17,324.39 |
$-623.84 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 10:30am ET | $319.52 | 54 | $17,324.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $340.48 | 54 | $18,460.66 | $18,460.66 |
+$1,136.27 (+6.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $295.61 | 62 | $18,460.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $315.35 | 62 | $19,693.60 | $19,693.60 |
+$1,232.94 (+6.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $295.04 | 67 | $19,693.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $309.94 | 67 | $20,688.09 | $20,688.09 |
+$994.49 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $304.93 | 68 | $20,688.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $325.54 | 68 | $22,086.35 | $22,086.35 |
+$1,398.26 (+6.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:50am ET | $301.65 | 73 | $22,086.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.68 | 73 | $22,601.08 | $22,601.08 |
+$514.73 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $334.50 | 68 | $22,601.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $335.57 | 68 | $22,673.38 | $22,673.38 |
+$72.30 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $319.86 | 71 | $22,673.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $340.01 | 71 | $24,102.10 | $24,102.10 |
+$1,428.72 (+6.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $345.33 | 70 | $24,102.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $347.04 | 70 | $24,221.45 | $24,221.45 |
+$119.35 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 2:25pm ET | $406.68 | 60 | $24,221.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $425.59 | 60 | $25,347.75 | $25,347.75 |
+$1,126.30 (+4.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 59 | $25,347.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $443.22 | 59 | $26,322.94 | $26,322.94 |
+$975.19 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $452.08 | 58 | $26,322.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $453.36 | 58 | $26,397.48 | $26,397.48 |
+$74.54 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 3:10pm ET | $434.98 | 61 | $26,397.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $435.53 | 61 | $26,431.16 | $26,431.16 |
+$33.68 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET | $424.59 | 62 | $26,431.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $429.25 | 62 | $26,721.25 | $26,721.25 |
+$290.09 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $416.54 | 64 | $26,721.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $452.35 | 64 | $29,018.79 | $29,018.79 |
+$2,297.54 (+8.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $448.56 | 65 | $29,018.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $468.36 | 65 | $30,299.71 | $30,299.71 |
+$1,280.92 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $449.44 | 67 | $30,299.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $445.26 | 67 | $30,017.91 | $30,017.91 |
$-281.80 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $418.65 | 72 | $30,017.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $408.91 | 72 | $29,319.54 | $29,319.54 |
$-698.37 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $415.73 | 71 | $29,319.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $417.52 | 71 | $29,445.78 | $29,445.78 |
+$126.24 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:25am ET | $443.49 | 66 | $29,445.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $451.44 | 66 | $29,973.48 | $29,973.48 |
+$527.70 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $450.13 | 67 | $29,973.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $489.80 | 67 | $32,615.18 | $32,615.18 |
+$2,641.70 (+8.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:25am ET | $478.37 | 68 | $32,615.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $480.91 | 68 | $32,788.40 | $32,788.40 |
+$173.22 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $474.52 | 69 | $32,788.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $454.43 | 69 | $31,400.06 | $31,400.06 |
$-1,388.34 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $441.60 | 71 | $31,400.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $432.95 | 71 | $30,785.00 | $30,785.00 |
$-615.06 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $427.71 | 72 | $30,785.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $449.37 | 72 | $32,344.39 | $32,344.39 |
+$1,559.39 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $423.33 | 76 | $32,344.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $421.79 | 76 | $32,226.73 | $32,226.73 |
$-117.66 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $396.48 | 81 | $32,226.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $417.16 | 81 | $33,907.64 | $33,907.64 |
+$1,680.91 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $421.06 | 81 | $33,907.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $416.88 | 81 | $33,571.12 | $33,571.12 |
$-336.52 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $408.07 | 82 | $33,571.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $410.73 | 82 | $33,789.95 | $33,789.95 |
+$218.83 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $391.14 | 86 | $33,789.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $405.39 | 86 | $35,020.98 | $35,020.98 |
+$1,231.03 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $390.44 | 90 | $35,020.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $407.21 | 90 | $36,525.18 | $36,525.18 |
+$1,504.20 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $381.09 | 96 | $36,525.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $380.90 | 96 | $36,506.97 | $36,506.97 |
$-18.21 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $363.05 | 101 | $36,506.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $371.39 | 101 | $37,346.12 | $37,346.12 |
+$839.15 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.39 | 102 | $37,346.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $345.84 | 102 | $35,444.96 | $35,444.96 |
$-1,901.16 (-5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $392.92 | 90 | $35,444.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $387.13 | 90 | $34,922.65 | $34,922.65 |
$-522.31 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.69 | 93 | $34,922.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.33 | 93 | $35,449.26 | $35,449.26 |
+$526.61 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$35,449.26
Net Profit/Loss:
+$25,449.26
Total Return:
+254.49%