Compendium › Wrecking Ball › VTI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VTI
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 9 trades in period

+14.95%
Last Year Return
$13,586.93
Current Value
89%
Win Rate
$11,819.73
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.1/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
12.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 72.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 50.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,183
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,819.73
Current Value
$13,586.93
Period P&L
$1,767.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
2.58

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
8 / 1
Best Trade
+4.67%
Worst Trade
-0.58%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,158.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,767.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,767.20
Gross Return
+14.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,819.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:40am ET $283.77 42 $11,819.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $290.22 42 $12,088.27 $12,088.27 +$268.54
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $306.94 39 $12,088.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $311.21 39 $12,256.44 $12,256.44 +$168.17
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET $326.32 38 $12,256.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $328.36 38 $12,332.87 $12,332.87 +$76.43
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $325.93 38 $12,332.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $332.08 38 $12,565.58 $12,565.58 +$232.71
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $336.73 37 $12,565.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $340.56 37 $12,708.50 $12,708.50 +$142.92
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $333.85 38 $12,708.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $341.77 38 $13,009.99 $13,009.99 +$301.49
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $333.36 39 $13,009.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.41 39 $12,933.89 $12,933.89 $-76.10
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $327.08 40 $12,933.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $328.26 40 $12,980.27 $12,980.27 +$46.38
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $318.38 41 $12,980.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $333.26 41 $13,586.93 $13,586.93 +$606.66
(+4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,586.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,586.93
Total Return: +35.87%
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