XLK Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 46 trades in period
+53.48%
Last Year Return
$20,519.23
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$13,369.58
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score PRO Scored May 5, 2026
76
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
8.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality
76.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 75.9
30-Day Momentum
52
+12.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,376
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,369.58
Current Value
$20,519.23
Period P&L
$7,149.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
35 /
11
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.95%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,540,494.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,149.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,149.65
Gross Return
+53.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+53.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,369.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $106.43 | 126 | $13,369.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $108.91 | 126 | $13,680.49 | $13,680.49 |
+$310.91 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $115.92 | 118 | $13,680.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $114.65 | 118 | $13,530.02 | $13,530.02 |
$-150.47 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $113.16 | 120 | $13,530.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $115.60 | 120 | $13,821.16 | $13,821.16 |
+$291.14 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:25pm ET | $114.18 | 121 | $13,821.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $118.23 | 121 | $14,311.40 | $14,311.40 |
+$490.24 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 12:55pm ET | $118.40 | 121 | $14,311.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $119.76 | 121 | $14,475.79 | $14,475.79 |
+$164.39 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:50am ET | $120.02 | 121 | $14,475.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $120.65 | 121 | $14,552.38 | $14,552.38 |
+$76.59 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $120.35 | 121 | $14,552.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $123.63 | 121 | $14,948.99 | $14,948.99 |
+$396.61 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $124.96 | 120 | $14,948.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $128.48 | 120 | $15,370.09 | $15,370.09 |
+$421.10 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $126.68 | 121 | $15,370.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.34 | 121 | $15,693.45 | $15,693.45 |
+$323.36 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $129.27 | 121 | $15,693.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $130.68 | 121 | $15,864.62 | $15,864.62 |
+$171.17 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 2:10pm ET | $131.04 | 121 | $15,864.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $131.13 | 121 | $15,875.52 | $15,875.52 |
+$10.90 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $129.28 | 123 | $15,875.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $131.23 | 123 | $16,114.97 | $16,114.97 |
+$239.45 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $132.03 | 122 | $16,114.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $130.68 | 122 | $15,950.80 | $15,950.80 |
$-164.17 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:30am ET | $130.80 | 122 | $15,950.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.67 | 122 | $16,178.23 | $16,178.23 |
+$227.43 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $137.71 | 117 | $16,178.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $140.12 | 117 | $16,461.96 | $16,461.96 |
+$283.73 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET | $141.88 | 116 | $16,461.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $142.85 | 116 | $16,574.51 | $16,574.51 |
+$112.55 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $143.44 | 116 | $16,574.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $140.72 | 116 | $16,260.78 | $16,260.78 |
$-313.73 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $141.46 | 115 | $16,260.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.11 | 115 | $16,564.82 | $16,564.82 |
+$304.04 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $142.68 | 116 | $16,564.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.82 | 116 | $17,045.46 | $17,045.46 |
+$480.64 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 12:15pm ET | $149.84 | 114 | $17,045.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.95 | 114 | $16,716.97 | $16,716.97 |
$-328.49 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $146.78 | 114 | $16,716.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $147.82 | 114 | $16,835.99 | $16,835.99 |
+$119.02 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $144.75 | 116 | $16,835.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $141.84 | 116 | $16,497.53 | $16,497.53 |
$-338.46 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET | $140.27 | 118 | $16,497.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $136.64 | 118 | $16,070.58 | $16,070.58 |
$-426.95 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $138.30 | 116 | $16,070.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $143.11 | 116 | $16,629.53 | $16,629.53 |
+$558.95 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $143.35 | 116 | $16,629.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.58 | 116 | $17,004.23 | $17,004.23 |
+$374.70 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $146.42 | 116 | $17,004.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $142.31 | 116 | $16,526.92 | $16,526.92 |
$-477.31 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $140.50 | 118 | $16,526.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.61 | 118 | $17,010.38 | $17,010.38 |
+$483.46 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $144.06 | 118 | $17,010.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.63 | 118 | $17,313.84 | $17,313.84 |
+$303.46 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.24 | 119 | $17,313.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.79 | 119 | $17,498.61 | $17,498.61 |
+$184.77 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $144.66 | 121 | $17,498.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.61 | 121 | $17,613.53 | $17,613.53 |
+$114.92 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $142.61 | 124 | $17,613.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.07 | 124 | $17,917.36 | $17,917.36 |
+$303.83 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.37 | 122 | $17,917.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.28 | 122 | $17,663.31 | $17,663.31 |
$-254.05 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $139.44 | 127 | $17,663.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $141.06 | 127 | $17,868.52 | $17,868.52 |
+$205.21 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $141.98 | 126 | $17,868.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $139.41 | 126 | $17,545.08 | $17,545.08 |
$-323.44 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.45 | 127 | $17,545.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.13 | 127 | $17,757.98 | $17,757.98 |
+$212.90 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $141.58 | 125 | $17,757.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $139.60 | 125 | $17,510.26 | $17,510.26 |
$-247.72 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.24 | 129 | $17,510.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.03 | 129 | $17,997.19 | $17,997.19 |
+$486.93 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $137.23 | 131 | $17,997.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $139.62 | 131 | $18,309.97 | $18,309.97 |
+$312.78 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $138.25 | 132 | $18,309.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $138.70 | 132 | $18,368.91 | $18,368.91 |
+$58.94 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.49 | 136 | $18,368.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $137.20 | 136 | $18,600.06 | $18,600.06 |
+$231.15 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.05 | 137 | $18,600.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $132.50 | 137 | $18,114.72 | $18,114.72 |
$-485.34 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.62 | 138 | $18,114.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $132.91 | 138 | $18,292.60 | $18,292.60 |
+$177.88 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $134.41 | 136 | $18,292.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $136.65 | 136 | $18,596.77 | $18,596.77 |
+$304.17 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $135.03 | 138 | $18,596.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $142.02 | 138 | $19,560.14 | $19,560.14 |
+$963.37 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $155.39 | 126 | $19,560.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.52 | 126 | $20,206.52 | $20,206.52 |
+$646.38 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.02 | 129 | $20,206.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $159.45 | 129 | $20,519.23 | $20,519.23 |
+$312.71 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,519.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,519.23
Total Return:
+105.19%