Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 7 trades in period

+11.20%
Last 3 Months Return
$22,970.00
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$20,656.34
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:15:29

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

74
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
11.8/15
Profit Factor
11.3/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 83.8/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 73.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-74 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,846
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,656.34
Current Value
$22,970.00
Period P&L
$2,313.66
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+7.40%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+1.61%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$322,890.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,313.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,313.66
Gross Return
+11.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $20,656.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $203.70 101 $20,656.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.49 101 $21,344.37 $21,344.37 +$688.03
(+3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $205.81 104 $21,344.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.05 104 $22,924.91 $22,924.91 +$1,580.54
(+7.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $258.87 89 $22,924.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $274.00 89 $24,264.79 $24,264.79 +$1,339.88
(+5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $261.52 93 $24,264.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $265.15 93 $24,601.12 $24,601.12 +$336.33
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $263.11 93 $24,601.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.91 93 $23,740.46 $23,740.46 $-860.66
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $248.46 96 $23,740.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.16 96 $22,756.29 $22,756.29 $-984.17
(-4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $235.32 97 $22,756.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.54 97 $22,970.00 $22,970.00 +$213.71
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,970.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,970.00
Total Return: +129.70%
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