Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 14 trades in period

+45.76%
Last 3 Months Return
$53,596.35
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$36,770.43
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:32:19

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score PRO Scored Jun 22, 2026

75
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 76.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 75.4

30-Day Momentum

40
+11.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.1 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,849
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$36,770.43
Current Value
$53,596.35
Period P&L
$16,825.92
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+14.65%
Worst Trade
-4.59%
Avg Trade Return
+2.85%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,291,650.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$16,825.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$16,825.92
Gross Return
+45.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+45.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $36,770.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $320.21 115 $36,770.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.52 115 $35,543.95 $35,543.95 $-1,226.48
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 117 $35,543.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $313.46 117 $36,552.63 $36,552.63 +$1,008.68
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $305.60 120 $36,552.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.37 120 $41,907.54 $41,907.54 +$5,354.91
(+14.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $371.28 113 $41,907.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.63 113 $44,768.87 $44,768.87 +$2,861.33
(+6.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $400.14 112 $44,768.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $419.67 112 $46,953.95 $46,953.95 +$2,185.08
(+4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $415.48 113 $46,953.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $404.61 113 $45,725.51 $45,725.51 $-1,228.44
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $406.56 112 $45,725.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $427.41 112 $48,070.50 $48,070.50 +$2,344.99
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:05am ET $424.47 113 $48,070.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $428.30 113 $48,504.24 $48,504.24 +$433.74
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $422.84 115 $48,504.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.13 115 $48,766.93 $48,766.93 +$262.69
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $421.44 116 $48,766.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.20 116 $47,929.15 $47,929.15 $-837.78
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:30am ET $411.42 116 $47,929.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $426.36 116 $49,669.03 $49,669.03 +$1,739.88
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:40am ET $436.71 114 $49,669.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.07 114 $54,372.47 $54,372.47 +$4,703.44
(+9.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 132 $54,372.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $391.55 132 $51,876.99 $51,876.99 $-2,495.48
(-4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $381.23 136 $51,876.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $393.86 136 $53,596.35 $53,596.35 +$1,719.36
(+3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $53,596.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$43,596.35
Total Return: +435.96%
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