Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 15 trades in period

+38.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$48,070.50
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$34,660.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026

74
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.4/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
5.9/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 75.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 74.0

30-Day Momentum

65
+31.5%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
5.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,880
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$34,660.51
Current Value
$48,070.50
Period P&L
$13,409.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+14.65%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+2.19%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,200,453.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13,409.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$13,409.98
Gross Return
+38.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $34,660.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $312.74 113 $35,466.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.77 113 $38,985.85 $38,985.85 +$3,519.49
(+9.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $335.58 116 $38,985.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.95 116 $37,751.25 $37,751.25 $-1,234.60
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $319.55 118 $37,751.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.59 118 $39,173.64 $39,173.64 +$1,422.39
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $334.60 117 $39,173.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $321.34 117 $37,621.21 $37,621.21 $-1,552.43
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $310.38 121 $37,621.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $317.90 121 $38,533.33 $38,533.33 +$912.12
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $330.45 117 $38,533.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.66 117 $39,957.22 $39,957.22 +$1,423.89
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $339.45 118 $39,957.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.63 118 $38,212.73 $38,212.73 $-1,744.49
(-4.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET $322.17 119 $38,212.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $310.01 119 $36,770.43 $36,770.43 $-1,442.30
(-3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $320.21 115 $36,770.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.52 115 $35,543.95 $35,543.95 $-1,226.48
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 117 $35,543.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $313.46 117 $36,552.63 $36,552.63 +$1,008.68
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $305.60 120 $36,552.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.37 120 $41,907.54 $41,907.54 +$5,354.91
(+14.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $371.28 113 $41,907.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.63 113 $44,768.87 $44,768.87 +$2,861.33
(+6.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $400.14 112 $44,768.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $419.67 112 $46,953.95 $46,953.95 +$2,185.08
(+4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $415.48 113 $46,953.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $404.61 113 $45,725.51 $45,725.51 $-1,228.44
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $406.56 112 $45,725.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $427.41 112 $48,070.50 $48,070.50 +$2,344.99
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $48,070.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$38,070.50
Total Return: +380.70%
Back to Wrecking Ball