Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 23 trades in period

-16.16%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,753.03
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$17,596.91
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.3/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 64.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 63.9

30-Day Momentum

5
-0.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-59 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,596.91
Current Value
$14,753.03
Period P&L
$-2,843.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.68

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
10 / 13
Best Trade
+3.22%
Worst Trade
-7.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$696,175.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,843.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,843.88
Gross Return
-16.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $17,596.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $360.96 49 $17,596.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $354.11 49 $17,262.73 $17,262.73 $-334.18
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $352.32 49 $17,262.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $337.68 49 $16,545.41 $16,545.41 $-717.32
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $342.04 48 $16,545.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.52 48 $16,713.75 $16,713.75 +$168.34
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $341.11 49 $16,713.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $320.41 49 $15,699.49 $15,699.49 $-1,014.26
(-6.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $331.55 47 $15,699.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $307.98 47 $14,583.42 $14,583.42 $-1,116.07
(-7.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $303.20 48 $14,583.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $307.43 48 $14,787.12 $14,787.12 +$203.70
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $307.07 48 $14,787.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $300.22 48 $14,457.49 $14,457.49 $-329.63
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $294.11 49 $14,457.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $303.45 49 $14,916.36 $14,916.36 +$458.87
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $302.61 49 $14,916.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $301.93 49 $14,882.84 $14,882.84 $-33.52
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET $301.37 49 $14,882.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.05 49 $14,718.88 $14,718.88 $-163.96
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:35am ET $302.52 49 $14,718.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.92 49 $14,300.45 $14,300.45 $-418.43
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $292.26 49 $14,300.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.93 49 $14,382.41 $14,382.41 +$81.96
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $299.23 48 $14,382.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $300.57 48 $14,446.58 $14,446.58 +$64.17
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $299.03 48 $14,446.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $292.46 48 $14,129.42 $14,129.42 $-317.16
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $298.61 47 $14,129.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $302.77 47 $14,326.26 $14,326.26 +$196.84
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $295.71 48 $14,326.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.23 48 $14,787.72 $14,787.72 +$461.46
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET $317.30 47 $14,787.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $318.06 47 $14,822.91 $14,822.91 +$35.19
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $313.98 47 $14,822.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.05 47 $15,298.32 $15,298.32 +$475.41
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $326.32 47 $15,298.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.83 47 $15,556.64 $15,556.64 +$258.32
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $333.58 47 $15,556.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $333.54 47 $15,554.31 $15,554.31 $-2.33
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $326.62 48 $15,554.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $313.54 48 $14,931.18 $14,931.18 $-623.13
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $318.17 47 $14,931.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $315.56 47 $14,808.93 $14,808.93 $-122.25
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $317.89 47 $14,808.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.68 47 $14,753.03 $14,753.03 $-55.90
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,753.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,753.03
Total Return: +47.53%
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