Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:06:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
32.0/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 57.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 56.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-4.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,783
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,377.16
Current Value
$14,573.50
Period P&L
$-1,803.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+6.46%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$374,506.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,803.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,803.65
Gross Return
-11.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $16,377.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.26 110 $15,746.25
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $152.51 110 $16,762.95 $16,762.95 +$1,016.70
(+6.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $151.23 111 $16,762.95
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.77 111 $16,822.81 $16,822.81 +$59.86
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $154.27 109 $16,822.81
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.42 109 $16,512.02 $16,512.02 $-310.79
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $150.36 110 $16,512.02
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.55 110 $15,764.17 $15,764.17 $-747.85
(-4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $147.63 107 $15,764.17
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.95 107 $15,371.73 $15,371.73 $-392.44
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $146.79 105 $15,371.73
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $145.22 105 $15,207.32 $15,207.32 $-164.41
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $142.94 106 $15,207.32
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.59 106 $14,638.14 $14,638.14 $-569.18
(-3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $133.90 109 $14,638.14
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.58 109 $15,259.09 $15,259.09 +$620.95
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $137.88 111 $15,259.09
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.88 111 $15,369.76 $15,369.76 +$110.67
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $137.82 112 $15,369.76
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.53 112 $15,449.50 $15,449.50 +$79.74
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET $137.21 113 $15,449.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.65 113 $14,936.05 $14,936.05 $-513.45
(-3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $131.83 113 $14,936.05
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $128.63 113 $14,573.50 $14,573.50 $-362.55
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,573.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,573.50
Total Return: +45.73%
Back to Wrecking Ball