Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:15:29

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
10.2/15
Profit Factor
11.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 80.7/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 68.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,846
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$24,999.80
Current Value
$23,160.18
Period P&L
$-1,839.62
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+9.07%
Worst Trade
-7.32%
Avg Trade Return
-1.36%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,632.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,839.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,839.62
Gross Return
-7.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $24,999.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $296.22 84 $24,999.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $274.54 84 $23,170.09 $23,170.09 $-1,829.71
(-7.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 80 $23,170.09
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.50 80 $25,272.46 $25,272.46 +$2,102.37
(+9.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $389.51 65 $25,272.46
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.03 65 $24,852.02 $24,852.02 $-420.44
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $381.02 65 $24,852.02
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.40 65 $23,441.86 $23,441.86 $-1,410.16
(-5.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:25am ET $361.18 65 $23,441.86
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $356.85 65 $23,160.18 $23,160.18 $-281.68
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,160.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,160.18
Total Return: +131.60%
Back to Wrecking Ball