Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 64.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 63.0

30-Day Momentum

31
+6.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.6 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,804
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,214.91
Current Value
$14,988.71
Period P&L
$-226.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+3.83%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$423,525.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-226.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-226.20
Gross Return
-1.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,214.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET $384.81 40 $15,312.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $385.25 40 $15,329.51 $15,329.51 +$17.51
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $380.45 40 $15,329.51
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.22 40 $15,723.17 $15,723.17 +$393.66
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $388.05 41 $15,723.17
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.48 41 $15,821.43 $15,821.43 +$98.26
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $388.19 41 $15,821.43
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $381.75 41 $15,558.96 $15,558.96 $-262.47
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $376.18 41 $15,558.96
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.48 41 $15,530.01 $15,530.01 $-28.95
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $372.99 42 $15,530.01
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.06 42 $15,366.38 $15,366.38 $-163.63
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $365.05 42 $15,366.38
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $357.36 42 $15,042.68 $15,042.68 $-323.70
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $354.33 42 $15,042.68
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.93 42 $14,558.71 $14,558.71 $-483.97
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $337.88 43 $14,558.71
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.16 43 $14,269.16 $14,269.16 $-289.55
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $325.94 44 $14,269.16
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $321.69 44 $14,083.10 $14,083.10 $-186.06
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $323.55 44 $14,083.10
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $335.93 44 $14,621.96 $14,621.96 +$538.86
(+3.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $331.64 44 $14,621.96
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.30 44 $15,092.18 $15,092.18 +$470.22
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET $338.86 45 $15,092.18
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.61 45 $15,615.28 $15,615.28 +$523.10
(+3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $336.51 46 $15,615.28
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $323.01 46 $14,988.71 $14,988.71 $-626.57
(-4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,988.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,988.71
Total Return: +49.89%
Back to Wrecking Ball