Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:12:37

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 63.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 62.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-59 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,845
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,450.31
Current Value
$16,079.15
Period P&L
$-2,371.17
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+6.41%
Worst Trade
-8.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$613,038.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,371.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,371.17
Gross Return
-12.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $18,450.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $599.99 31 $18,459.17
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $592.60 31 $18,232.03 $18,232.03 $-227.14
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $581.09 31 $18,232.03
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $536.85 31 $16,844.13 $16,844.13 $-1,387.90
(-7.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:00am ET $551.93 31 $16,844.13
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $573.89 31 $17,514.32 $17,514.32 +$670.19
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $574.83 30 $17,514.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.70 30 $18,637.55 $18,637.55 +$1,123.23
(+6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $625.37 30 $18,637.55
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $662.33 30 $19,738.90 $19,738.90 +$1,101.35
(+5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $674.00 29 $19,738.90
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $675.11 29 $19,771.40 $19,771.40 +$32.50
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $662.82 30 $19,771.40
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $678.79 30 $20,247.92 $20,247.92 +$476.52
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET $671.53 30 $20,247.92
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $612.83 30 $18,478.13 $18,478.13 $-1,769.79
(-8.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:05am ET $611.61 30 $18,478.13
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $605.02 30 $18,278.88 $18,278.88 $-199.25
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $616.77 30 $18,278.88
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $599.37 30 $17,763.20 $17,763.20 $-515.68
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $610.45 29 $17,763.20
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $602.60 29 $17,534.78 $17,534.78 $-228.42
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:00am ET $596.28 29 $17,534.78
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.97 29 $17,996.03 $17,996.03 +$461.25
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:00am ET $634.28 28 $17,996.03
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.54 28 $17,038.61 $17,038.61 $-957.42
(-5.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $601.78 28 $17,038.61
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $627.54 28 $17,768.03 $17,768.03 +$729.42
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $615.50 29 $17,768.03
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $585.63 29 $16,905.75 $16,905.75 $-862.28
(-4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $580.16 29 $16,905.75
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $566.25 29 $16,500.42 $16,500.42 $-405.33
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $593.45 28 $16,500.42
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $578.30 28 $16,079.15 $16,079.15 $-421.27
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,079.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,079.15
Total Return: +60.79%
Back to Wrecking Ball