Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 25 trades in period

-2.78%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,353.57
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$12,706.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 40.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 39.6

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.0%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,706.74
Current Value
$12,353.57
Period P&L
$-353.17
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
14 / 11
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-4.99%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$616,271.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-353.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$-353.17
Gross Return
-2.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,706.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $173.66 73 $12,676.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $179.98 73 $13,137.40 $13,137.40 +$461.32
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $180.22 73 $13,137.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $176.65 73 $12,877.16 $12,877.16 $-260.24
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $175.43 73 $12,877.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $170.99 73 $12,551.25 $12,551.25 $-325.91
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $171.13 73 $12,551.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $176.49 73 $12,943.99 $12,943.99 +$392.74
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $174.88 74 $12,943.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.88 74 $12,943.99 $12,943.99 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $172.53 75 $12,943.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $168.77 75 $12,661.90 $12,661.90 $-282.09
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $174.74 72 $12,661.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $166.01 72 $12,029.66 $12,029.66 $-632.24
(-5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $163.33 74 $12,029.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.98 74 $12,224.84 $12,224.84 +$195.18
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $165.97 74 $12,224.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.00 74 $11,785.11 $11,785.11 $-439.73
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.97 75 $11,785.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.85 75 $11,999.59 $11,999.59 +$214.48
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET $159.09 75 $11,999.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $154.20 75 $11,630.75 $11,630.75 $-368.84
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET $155.27 75 $11,630.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.72 75 $11,664.46 $11,664.46 +$33.71
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $158.05 74 $11,664.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $158.65 74 $11,708.74 $11,708.74 +$44.28
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $160.60 73 $11,708.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.80 73 $12,015.31 $12,015.31 +$306.57
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $162.63 74 $12,015.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.63 74 $12,236.95 $12,236.95 +$221.64
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $163.90 75 $12,236.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $158.14 75 $11,806.54 $11,806.54 $-430.41
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $157.72 75 $11,806.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.50 75 $12,314.07 $12,314.07 +$507.53
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:30am ET $165.35 74 $12,314.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.88 74 $12,353.91 $12,353.91 +$39.84
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET $176.63 70 $12,353.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $178.43 70 $12,479.81 $12,479.81 +$125.90
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $176.74 71 $12,479.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.55 71 $12,748.84 $12,748.84 +$269.03
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET $191.48 67 $12,748.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.22 67 $12,465.21 $12,465.21 $-283.63
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $189.80 66 $12,465.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.11 66 $12,419.89 $12,419.89 $-45.32
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $188.83 66 $12,419.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.18 66 $12,377.46 $12,377.46 $-42.43
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $189.18 65 $12,377.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.14 65 $12,244.31 $12,244.31 $-133.15
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $187.71 65 $12,244.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.38 65 $12,353.57 $12,353.57 +$109.26
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,353.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,353.57
Total Return: +23.54%
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