Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:32:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

82
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.2/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
10.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 83.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 82.2

30-Day Momentum

29
+13.9%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,849
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$36,166.37
Current Value
$72,440.99
Period P&L
$36,274.62
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
12 / 3
Best Trade
+21.75%
Worst Trade
-16.02%
Avg Trade Return
+5.39%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,553,669.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$36,274.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$36,274.62
Gross Return
+100.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+100.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $36,166.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 85 $35,961.54
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.89 85 $33,662.21 $33,662.21 $-2,299.33
(-6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 88 $33,662.21
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $322.48 88 $28,420.98 $28,420.98 $-5,241.23
(-15.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $314.28 90 $28,420.98
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $377.80 90 $34,165.22 $34,165.22 +$5,744.24
(+20.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $373.24 92 $34,165.22
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $420.11 92 $38,455.10 $38,455.10 +$4,289.88
(+12.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $415.50 93 $38,455.10
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.74 93 $42,179.37 $42,179.37 +$3,724.27
(+9.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET $458.08 92 $42,179.37
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.22 92 $44,770.46 $44,770.46 +$2,591.09
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $478.16 94 $44,770.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $503.91 94 $47,181.45 $47,181.45 +$2,410.99
(+5.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $513.65 92 $47,181.45
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $577.58 92 $53,053.30 $53,053.30 +$5,871.85
(+12.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $629.81 84 $53,053.30
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $743.80 84 $62,655.47 $62,655.47 +$9,602.17
(+18.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:30am ET $770.80 81 $62,655.47
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $781.55 81 $63,529.30 $63,529.30 +$873.83
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 87 $63,529.30
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $732.31 87 $63,577.05 $63,577.05 +$47.75
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $757.41 84 $63,577.05
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $922.15 84 $77,404.54 $77,404.54 +$13,827.49
(+21.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $1,028.82 75 $77,404.54
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $864.02 75 $65,005.61 $65,005.61 $-12,398.93
(-16.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $939.84 69 $65,005.61
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $991.42 69 $68,573.22 $68,573.22 +$3,567.61
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $992.76 69 $68,573.22
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,048.76 69 $72,440.99 $72,440.99 +$3,867.77
(+5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $72,440.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$62,440.99
Total Return: +624.41%
Back to Wrecking Ball