Compendium › Wrecking Ball › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 9 trades in period

+8.19%
Last 3 Months Return
$35,646.15
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$32,948.70
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 74.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 71.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$32,948.70
Current Value
$35,646.15
Period P&L
$2,697.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+10.00%
Worst Trade
-6.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$621,694.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,697.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,697.44
Gross Return
+8.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $32,948.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $171.46 194 $33,223.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.61 194 $36,547.02 $36,547.02 +$3,323.16
(+10.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $187.30 195 $36,547.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.63 195 $35,634.83 $35,634.83 $-912.19
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $191.01 187 $35,634.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.18 187 $33,614.38 $33,614.38 $-2,020.45
(-5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $179.30 187 $33,614.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.39 187 $34,567.67 $34,567.67 +$953.29
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $183.66 188 $34,567.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $172.64 188 $32,492.65 $32,492.65 $-2,075.02
(-6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:20am ET $175.15 186 $32,492.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.24 186 $32,322.91 $32,322.91 $-169.74
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $171.49 188 $32,322.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.70 188 $34,247.34 $34,247.34 +$1,924.43
(+6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $197.50 173 $34,247.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.29 173 $36,985.62 $36,985.62 +$2,738.28
(+8.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $203.64 182 $36,985.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.26 182 $35,646.15 $35,646.15 $-1,339.47
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $35,646.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$25,646.15
Total Return: +256.46%
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