Compendium › Wrecking Ball › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 18 trades in period

-4.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,077.75
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$14,696.73
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.5/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 55.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 54.8

30-Day Momentum

18
+0.5%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.6 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,696.73
Current Value
$14,077.75
Period P&L
$-618.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+9.27%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$516,876.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-618.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-618.98
Gross Return
-4.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,696.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $471.28 32 $14,969.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $470.93 32 $14,958.14 $14,958.14 $-11.12
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET $468.69 32 $14,958.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $463.87 32 $14,804.31 $14,804.31 $-153.83
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $492.85 30 $14,804.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $491.00 30 $14,748.74 $14,748.74 $-55.57
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $484.64 30 $14,748.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $469.45 30 $14,286.62 $14,286.62 $-462.12
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $480.70 30 $14,286.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $483.29 30 $14,363.45 $14,363.45 +$76.83
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:10am ET $477.84 30 $14,363.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $487.12 30 $14,642.46 $14,642.46 +$279.01
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $479.06 31 $14,642.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $460.65 31 $14,079.76 $14,079.76 $-562.70
(-3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $456.90 31 $14,079.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $499.24 31 $15,384.66 $15,384.66 +$1,304.90
(+9.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:25am ET $489.87 31 $15,384.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $469.27 31 $14,737.70 $14,737.70 $-646.96
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:05am ET $468.54 31 $14,737.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $451.58 31 $14,204.54 $14,204.54 $-533.16
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $452.81 31 $14,204.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.47 31 $14,287.98 $14,287.98 +$83.44
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $450.89 32 $14,287.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $441.97 32 $14,005.32 $14,005.32 $-282.66
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:35am ET $442.51 32 $14,005.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $431.45 32 $13,655.12 $13,655.12 $-350.20
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:30am ET $437.80 31 $13,655.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $444.27 31 $13,857.23 $13,857.23 +$202.11
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:30am ET $440.48 31 $13,857.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $441.23 31 $13,880.67 $13,880.67 +$23.44
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $431.96 32 $13,880.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $434.84 32 $13,973.05 $13,973.05 +$92.38
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $428.49 33 $13,973.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $430.69 33 $14,044.79 $14,044.79 +$71.74
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $424.05 33 $14,044.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.04 33 $14,077.75 $14,077.75 +$32.96
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,077.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,077.75
Total Return: +40.78%
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