Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 25 trades in period

+24.03%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,453.46
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$10,846.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:02:12

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.2/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 50.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 49.2

30-Day Momentum

10
+1.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.7 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,498
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,846.66
Current Value
$13,453.46
Period P&L
$2,606.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
16 / 9
Best Trade
+11.49%
Worst Trade
-5.75%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$631,910.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,606.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,606.80
Gross Return
+24.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $10,846.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET $294.38 34 $9,982.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $315.44 34 $10,696.61 $10,696.61 +$713.99
(+7.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $321.59 33 $10,696.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $336.00 33 $11,175.91 $11,175.91 +$479.30
(+4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $334.14 33 $11,175.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $342.53 33 $11,456.53 $11,456.53 +$280.62
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:20am ET $338.15 34 $11,456.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $341.02 34 $11,553.77 $11,553.77 +$97.24
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $340.89 34 $11,553.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $340.28 34 $11,533.10 $11,533.10 $-20.67
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:15am ET $334.73 34 $11,533.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $315.49 34 $10,870.19 $10,870.19 $-662.91
(-5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $313.02 35 $10,870.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $326.45 35 $11,336.59 $11,336.59 +$466.40
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $323.40 35 $11,336.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $331.49 35 $11,620.18 $11,620.18 +$283.59
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $324.29 36 $11,620.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.05 36 $11,826.76 $11,826.76 +$206.58
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $320.70 37 $11,826.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.42 37 $12,185.40 $12,185.40 +$358.64
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.60 38 $12,185.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.76 38 $13,022.54 $13,022.54 +$837.14
(+6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $348.75 37 $13,022.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $341.88 37 $12,766.01 $12,766.01 $-256.53
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $344.54 37 $12,766.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.13 37 $14,232.91 $14,232.91 +$1,466.90
(+11.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $377.23 38 $14,232.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 38 $13,820.14 $13,820.14 $-412.77
(-2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 38 $13,820.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 38 $13,953.33 $13,953.33 +$133.19
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $381.92 37 $13,953.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $385.14 37 $14,070.97 $14,070.97 +$117.64
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $377.97 37 $14,070.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.88 37 $13,732.57 $13,732.57 $-338.40
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $367.09 37 $13,732.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.33 37 $13,778.96 $13,778.96 +$46.39
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $360.91 38 $13,778.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.92 38 $13,206.67 $13,206.67 $-572.29
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.50 38 $13,206.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.79 38 $13,255.79 $13,255.79 +$49.12
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $347.77 38 $13,255.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.24 38 $13,045.01 $13,045.01 $-210.78
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 39 $13,045.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $351.95 39 $13,654.10 $13,654.10 +$609.09
(+4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 39 $13,654.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 39 $13,781.68 $13,781.68 +$127.58
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $352.43 39 $13,781.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.36 39 $13,661.63 $13,661.63 $-120.05
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $343.56 40 $13,661.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.33 40 $13,453.46 $13,453.46 $-208.17
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,453.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,453.46
Total Return: +34.53%
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