CRWD Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 39 trades in period
-15.31%
Last 6 Months Return
$23,660.36
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$27,937.72
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
69.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 69.0
30-Day Momentum
16
+1.5%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$27,937.72
Current Value
$23,660.36
Period P&L
$-4,277.36
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
18 /
21
Best Trade
+10.63%
Worst Trade
-15.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,017,900.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,277.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,277.36
Gross Return
-15.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $27,937.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $531.41 | 53 | $27,937.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $557.47 | 53 | $29,307.77 | $29,307.77 |
+$1,370.05 (+4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $547.34 | 54 | $29,307.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $529.93 | 54 | $28,375.54 | $28,375.54 |
$-932.23 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $518.60 | 55 | $28,375.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $520.58 | 55 | $28,484.14 | $28,484.14 |
+$108.60 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 2:10pm ET | $502.78 | 57 | $28,484.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $490.78 | 57 | $27,804.30 | $27,804.30 |
$-679.84 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $496.00 | 56 | $27,804.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $501.45 | 56 | $28,109.81 | $28,109.81 |
+$305.51 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $497.00 | 57 | $28,109.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $517.22 | 57 | $29,253.43 | $29,253.43 |
+$1,143.62 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $514.99 | 57 | $29,253.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $512.02 | 57 | $29,085.00 | $29,085.00 |
$-168.43 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $510.93 | 57 | $29,085.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $517.37 | 57 | $29,451.60 | $29,451.60 |
+$366.60 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $497.31 | 59 | $29,451.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $488.38 | 59 | $28,922.75 | $28,922.75 |
$-528.85 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $477.29 | 61 | $28,922.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.78 | 61 | $29,013.04 | $29,013.04 |
+$90.29 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $462.35 | 63 | $29,013.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $456.58 | 63 | $28,651.11 | $28,651.11 |
$-361.93 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $473.18 | 61 | $28,651.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $470.61 | 61 | $28,495.50 | $28,495.50 |
$-155.61 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $463.06 | 62 | $28,495.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $460.61 | 62 | $28,344.73 | $28,344.73 |
$-150.77 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $458.49 | 62 | $28,344.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.96 | 62 | $28,064.98 | $28,064.98 |
$-279.75 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $446.34 | 63 | $28,064.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.88 | 63 | $28,539.08 | $28,539.08 |
+$474.10 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $474.75 | 60 | $28,539.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $444.65 | 60 | $26,729.93 | $26,729.93 |
$-1,809.15 (-6.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $430.86 | 62 | $26,729.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $415.39 | 62 | $25,770.20 | $25,770.20 |
$-959.73 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $401.96 | 64 | $25,770.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $395.39 | 64 | $25,348.99 | $25,348.99 |
$-421.21 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $403.00 | 63 | $25,348.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $415.80 | 63 | $26,154.12 | $26,154.12 |
+$805.13 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $421.46 | 62 | $26,154.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $429.44 | 62 | $26,649.33 | $26,649.33 |
+$495.21 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.11 | 63 | $26,649.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $416.02 | 63 | $26,264.85 | $26,264.85 |
$-384.48 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $413.28 | 64 | $26,264.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $350.27 | 64 | $22,260.43 | $22,260.43 |
$-4,004.42 (-15.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $377.22 | 59 | $22,260.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $370.45 | 59 | $21,861.21 | $21,861.21 |
$-399.22 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.23 | 59 | $21,861.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $407.39 | 59 | $24,186.07 | $24,186.07 |
+$2,324.86 (+10.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $418.98 | 58 | $24,186.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $428.55 | 58 | $24,738.21 | $24,738.21 |
+$552.14 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $429.05 | 58 | $24,738.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $436.89 | 58 | $25,190.25 | $25,190.25 |
+$452.04 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $440.53 | 57 | $25,190.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $442.03 | 57 | $25,276.02 | $25,276.02 |
+$85.77 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $442.62 | 57 | $25,276.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $424.82 | 57 | $24,259.67 | $24,259.67 |
$-1,016.35 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $432.74 | 56 | $24,259.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $428.64 | 56 | $24,030.21 | $24,030.21 |
$-229.46 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.44 | 58 | $24,030.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $413.40 | 58 | $23,854.79 | $23,854.79 |
$-175.42 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.58 | 59 | $23,854.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $386.32 | 59 | $22,665.81 | $22,665.81 |
$-1,188.98 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.43 | 61 | $22,665.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $380.83 | 61 | $23,302.16 | $23,302.16 |
+$636.35 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $435.99 | 53 | $23,302.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $395.14 | 53 | $21,119.14 | $21,119.14 |
$-2,183.02 (-9.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $385.40 | 55 | $21,119.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $401.95 | 55 | $22,026.19 | $22,026.19 |
+$907.05 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $402.80 | 55 | $22,026.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $410.54 | 55 | $22,449.44 | $22,449.44 |
+$423.25 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $412.96 | 54 | $22,449.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $424.12 | 54 | $23,056.12 | $23,056.12 |
+$606.68 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.74 | 51 | $23,056.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $448.45 | 51 | $23,040.96 | $23,040.96 |
$-15.16 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $452.37 | 51 | $23,040.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $451.85 | 51 | $23,014.47 | $23,014.47 |
$-26.49 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $443.08 | 52 | $23,014.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $455.52 | 52 | $23,660.36 | $23,660.36 |
+$645.89 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$23,660.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$13,660.36
Total Return:
+136.60%