Compendium › Wrecking Ball › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-22 to present • 22 trades in period

-10.57%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,597.40
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$19,677.83
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 11:25:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 69.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 66.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-63 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,147
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,677.83
Current Value
$17,597.40
Period P&L
$-2,080.43
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
10 / 12
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-6.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.45%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$836,477.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,080.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,080.43
Gross Return
-10.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $19,677.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $557.55 35 $19,677.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $592.36 35 $20,906.43 $20,906.43 +$1,228.60
(+6.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $575.01 36 $20,906.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $541.00 36 $19,669.88 $19,669.88 $-1,236.55
(-5.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET $525.10 37 $19,669.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $522.04 37 $19,555.24 $19,555.24 $-114.64
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $513.88 38 $19,555.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.87 38 $18,223.14 $18,223.14 $-1,332.10
(-6.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $471.26 39 $18,223.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $492.81 39 $19,056.46 $19,056.46 +$833.32
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $487.89 39 $19,056.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $485.27 39 $18,953.93 $18,953.93 $-102.53
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $495.55 38 $18,953.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $506.16 38 $19,359.81 $19,359.81 +$405.88
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.75 39 $19,359.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $495.74 39 $19,477.28 $19,477.28 +$117.47
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $485.30 40 $19,477.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $493.18 40 $19,793.74 $19,793.74 +$316.46
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET $485.17 41 $19,793.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $482.75 41 $19,695.01 $19,695.01 $-98.73
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET $475.55 41 $19,695.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $479.19 41 $19,845.55 $19,845.55 +$150.54
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $472.23 42 $19,845.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $453.43 42 $19,055.37 $19,055.37 $-790.18
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $450.62 42 $19,055.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.00 42 $19,113.73 $19,113.73 +$58.36
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $454.06 42 $19,113.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $467.76 42 $19,690.22 $19,690.22 +$576.49
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $461.85 43 $19,690.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.03 43 $19,271.56 $19,271.56 $-418.66
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $471.36 41 $19,271.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $453.79 41 $18,553.21 $18,553.21 $-718.35
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $450.05 41 $18,553.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $449.50 41 $18,530.54 $18,530.54 $-22.67
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:40am ET $442.69 42 $18,530.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $428.34 42 $17,929.86 $17,929.86 $-600.68
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $435.68 41 $17,929.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $436.93 41 $17,981.30 $17,981.30 +$51.44
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $432.42 42 $17,981.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $412.24 42 $17,142.36 $17,142.36 $-838.94
(-4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 42 $17,142.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $422.08 42 $17,796.53 $17,796.53 +$654.17
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $420.49 42 $17,796.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $415.79 42 $17,597.40 $17,597.40 $-199.13
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,597.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,597.40
Total Return: +75.97%
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