Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

65
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.8/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 68.3/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 65.0

30-Day Momentum

49
+10.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,297
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,315.74
Current Value
$14,968.63
Period P&L
$2,652.89
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
14 / 6
Best Trade
+4.43%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
+1.00%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$538,558.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,652.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,652.89
Gross Return
+21.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,315.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $242.99 51 $12,315.74
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $244.25 51 $12,379.86 $12,379.86 +$64.12
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $241.11 51 $12,379.86
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $233.46 51 $11,987.07 $11,987.07 $-392.79
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET $235.92 51 $11,987.07
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $245.13 51 $12,455.03 $12,455.03 +$467.96
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET $246.09 51 $12,455.03
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $251.82 51 $12,745.03 $12,745.03 +$290.00
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $249.09 51 $12,745.03
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $253.59 51 $12,975.54 $12,975.54 +$230.51
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $262.23 49 $12,975.54
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.82 49 $13,103.70 $13,103.70 +$128.16
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $261.06 50 $13,103.70
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.82 50 $13,192.29 $13,192.29 +$88.59
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $259.52 51 $13,192.29
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.86 51 $13,565.41 $13,565.41 +$373.12
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $263.17 52 $13,565.41
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.87 52 $13,549.69 $13,549.69 $-15.72
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:25am ET $260.22 52 $13,549.69
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.34 52 $13,764.22 $13,764.22 +$214.53
(+1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $260.73 53 $13,764.22
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.09 53 $14,047.18 $14,047.18 +$282.96
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $262.39 54 $14,047.18
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.17 54 $14,035.40 $14,035.40 $-11.78
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $259.07 54 $14,035.40
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.05 54 $13,709.26 $13,709.26 $-326.14
(-2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET $251.47 55 $13,709.26
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.16 55 $13,583.33 $13,583.33 $-125.93
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:15am ET $247.64 55 $13,583.33
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $248.13 55 $13,609.93 $13,609.93 +$26.60
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $245.10 56 $13,609.93
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $243.25 56 $13,507.20 $13,507.20 $-102.73
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $242.49 56 $13,507.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $252.32 56 $14,054.18 $14,054.18 +$546.98
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $250.00 56 $14,054.18
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $261.08 56 $14,677.06 $14,677.06 +$622.88
(+4.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $276.28 53 $14,677.06
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.63 53 $14,695.65 $14,695.65 +$18.59
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET $274.29 54 $14,695.65
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $279.39 54 $14,968.63 $14,968.63 +$272.98
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,968.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,968.63
Total Return: +49.69%
Back to Wrecking Ball