MS Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 41 trades in period
-1.72%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,353.57
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$12,569.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
40.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 39.6
30-Day Momentum
5
+0.0%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,658
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,569.44
Current Value
$12,353.57
Period P&L
$-215.87
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
21 /
20
Best Trade
+6.41%
Worst Trade
-4.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,018,093.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-215.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-215.87
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.72%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,569.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $162.68 | 76 | $12,355.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $163.45 | 76 | $12,413.75 | $12,413.75 |
+$58.48 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $161.62 | 77 | $12,413.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $165.09 | 77 | $12,680.27 | $12,680.27 |
+$266.52 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $160.46 | 79 | $12,680.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $159.46 | 79 | $12,601.25 | $12,601.25 |
$-79.02 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $164.18 | 77 | $12,601.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $158.24 | 77 | $12,145.71 | $12,145.71 |
$-455.54 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $160.86 | 76 | $12,145.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $167.96 | 76 | $12,681.79 | $12,681.79 |
+$536.08 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:20pm ET | $176.94 | 72 | $12,681.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $178.87 | 72 | $12,820.12 | $12,820.12 |
+$138.33 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $180.01 | 71 | $12,820.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.80 | 71 | $12,662.73 | $12,662.73 |
$-157.39 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $177.12 | 71 | $12,662.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $172.95 | 71 | $12,364.61 | $12,364.61 |
$-298.12 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $180.06 | 69 | $12,364.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.07 | 69 | $12,296.63 | $12,296.63 |
$-67.98 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.39 | 66 | $12,296.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $184.64 | 66 | $12,181.50 | $12,181.50 |
$-115.13 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.52 | 66 | $12,181.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.77 | 66 | $12,065.97 | $12,065.97 |
$-115.53 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $179.75 | 67 | $12,065.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $191.28 | 67 | $12,839.94 | $12,839.94 |
+$773.97 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.51 | 70 | $12,839.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $183.32 | 70 | $12,757.12 | $12,757.12 |
$-82.82 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.71 | 71 | $12,757.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.82 | 71 | $12,906.90 | $12,906.90 |
+$149.78 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $181.21 | 71 | $12,906.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.19 | 71 | $12,976.70 | $12,976.70 |
+$69.80 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $184.32 | 70 | $12,976.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $180.05 | 70 | $12,676.08 | $12,676.08 |
$-300.62 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $173.66 | 73 | $12,676.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $179.98 | 73 | $13,137.40 | $13,137.40 |
+$461.32 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $180.22 | 73 | $13,137.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $176.65 | 73 | $12,877.16 | $12,877.16 |
$-260.24 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $175.43 | 73 | $12,877.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $170.99 | 73 | $12,551.25 | $12,551.25 |
$-325.91 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $171.13 | 73 | $12,551.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $176.49 | 73 | $12,943.99 | $12,943.99 |
+$392.74 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.88 | 74 | $12,943.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $174.88 | 74 | $12,943.99 | $12,943.99 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $172.53 | 75 | $12,943.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.77 | 75 | $12,661.90 | $12,661.90 |
$-282.09 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $174.74 | 72 | $12,661.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $166.01 | 72 | $12,029.66 | $12,029.66 |
$-632.24 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.33 | 74 | $12,029.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.98 | 74 | $12,224.84 | $12,224.84 |
+$195.18 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.97 | 74 | $12,224.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.00 | 74 | $11,785.11 | $11,785.11 |
$-439.73 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.97 | 75 | $11,785.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.85 | 75 | $11,999.59 | $11,999.59 |
+$214.48 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $159.09 | 75 | $11,999.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $154.20 | 75 | $11,630.75 | $11,630.75 |
$-368.84 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $155.27 | 75 | $11,630.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $155.72 | 75 | $11,664.46 | $11,664.46 |
+$33.71 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $158.05 | 74 | $11,664.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $158.65 | 74 | $11,708.74 | $11,708.74 |
+$44.28 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $160.60 | 73 | $11,708.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.80 | 73 | $12,015.31 | $12,015.31 |
+$306.57 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.63 | 74 | $12,015.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.63 | 74 | $12,236.95 | $12,236.95 |
+$221.64 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $163.90 | 75 | $12,236.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $158.14 | 75 | $11,806.54 | $11,806.54 |
$-430.41 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $157.72 | 75 | $11,806.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.50 | 75 | $12,314.07 | $12,314.07 |
+$507.53 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $165.35 | 74 | $12,314.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.88 | 74 | $12,353.91 | $12,353.91 |
+$39.84 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $176.63 | 70 | $12,353.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $178.43 | 70 | $12,479.81 | $12,479.81 |
+$125.90 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.74 | 71 | $12,479.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $180.55 | 71 | $12,748.84 | $12,748.84 |
+$269.03 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $191.48 | 67 | $12,748.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.22 | 67 | $12,465.21 | $12,465.21 |
$-283.63 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $189.80 | 66 | $12,465.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.11 | 66 | $12,419.89 | $12,419.89 |
$-45.32 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $188.83 | 66 | $12,419.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.18 | 66 | $12,377.46 | $12,377.46 |
$-42.43 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $189.18 | 65 | $12,377.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.14 | 65 | $12,244.31 | $12,244.31 |
$-133.15 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $187.71 | 65 | $12,244.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.38 | 65 | $12,353.57 | $12,353.57 |
+$109.26 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,353.57
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,353.57
Total Return:
+23.54%