Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 27 trades in period

+236.51%
Last 6 Months Return
$53,053.30
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$15,765.79
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:27:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026

80
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
9.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 80.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 80.4

30-Day Momentum

70
+86.7%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 94.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,347
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,765.79
Current Value
$53,053.30
Period P&L
$37,287.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.58

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
19 / 8
Best Trade
+24.59%
Worst Trade
-15.57%
Avg Trade Return
+5.43%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,556,100.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$37,287.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$37,287.51
Gross Return
+236.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+236.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,765.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 2:40pm ET $213.89 67 $14,292.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET $239.91 67 $16,031.70 $16,031.70 +$1,738.71
(+12.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $242.62 66 $16,031.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 2:55pm ET $250.10 66 $16,525.96 $16,525.96 +$494.26
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $231.28 71 $16,525.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:55pm ET $208.40 71 $14,891.41 $14,891.41 $-1,634.55
(-9.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:45am ET $222.06 67 $14,891.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:55pm ET $239.63 67 $16,069.52 $16,069.52 +$1,178.11
(+7.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $227.65 71 $16,069.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:55pm ET $252.22 71 $17,803.62 $17,803.62 +$1,734.10
(+10.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:40pm ET $255.34 70 $17,803.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $232.59 70 $16,217.37 $16,217.37 $-1,586.25
(-8.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 2:15pm ET $222.03 73 $16,217.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $276.62 73 $20,204.70 $20,204.70 +$3,987.33
(+24.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $289.31 70 $20,204.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.35 70 $23,978.72 $23,978.72 +$3,774.02
(+18.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $328.58 73 $23,978.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.18 73 $24,679.36 $24,679.36 +$700.64
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $355.35 69 $24,679.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.59 69 $27,612.96 $27,612.96 +$2,933.60
(+11.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $389.13 71 $27,612.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $435.79 71 $30,924.39 $30,924.39 +$3,311.43
(+12.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $423.31 73 $30,924.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.75 73 $27,742.17 $27,742.17 $-3,182.22
(-10.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET $375.74 74 $27,742.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $410.35 74 $30,297.14 $30,297.14 +$2,554.97
(+9.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $415.93 73 $30,297.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $410.64 73 $29,911.81 $29,911.81 $-385.33
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $400.61 75 $29,911.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $427.20 75 $31,897.27 $31,897.27 +$1,985.46
(+6.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET $419.30 76 $31,897.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.09 76 $31,501.31 $31,501.31 $-395.96
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $403.24 78 $31,501.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $401.55 78 $31,369.29 $31,369.29 $-132.02
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $395.20 79 $31,369.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $402.17 79 $31,922.14 $31,922.14 +$552.85
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $408.49 78 $31,922.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $460.18 78 $35,961.54 $35,961.54 +$4,039.40
(+12.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 85 $35,961.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.89 85 $33,662.21 $33,662.21 $-2,299.33
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 88 $33,662.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $322.48 88 $28,420.98 $28,420.98 $-5,241.23
(-15.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $314.28 90 $28,420.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $377.80 90 $34,165.22 $34,165.22 +$5,744.24
(+20.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $373.24 92 $34,165.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $420.11 92 $38,455.10 $38,455.10 +$4,289.88
(+12.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $415.50 93 $38,455.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.74 93 $42,179.37 $42,179.37 +$3,724.27
(+9.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET $458.08 92 $42,179.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.22 92 $44,770.46 $44,770.46 +$2,591.09
(+6.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $478.16 94 $44,770.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $503.91 94 $47,181.45 $47,181.45 +$2,410.99
(+5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $513.65 92 $47,181.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $577.58 92 $53,053.30 $53,053.30 +$5,871.85
(+12.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $53,053.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$43,053.30
Total Return: +430.53%
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