Compendium › Wrecking Ball › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 19 trades in period

+7.71%
Last 6 Months Return
$35,646.15
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$33,095.64
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 74.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 71.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,634
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$33,095.64
Current Value
$35,646.15
Period P&L
$2,550.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+10.00%
Worst Trade
-6.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,292,546.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,550.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,550.51
Gross Return
+7.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $33,095.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $196.08 168 $32,892.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $199.03 168 $33,387.53 $33,387.53 +$494.87
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET $192.53 173 $33,387.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $190.28 173 $32,997.35 $32,997.35 $-390.18
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET $181.08 182 $32,997.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $178.94 182 $32,607.17 $32,607.17 $-390.18
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $173.99 187 $32,607.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.93 187 $33,720.38 $33,720.38 +$1,113.21
(+3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $178.48 189 $33,720.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $177.52 189 $33,538.06 $33,538.06 $-182.32
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $186.64 180 $33,538.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.81 180 $33,927.98 $33,927.98 +$389.92
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $185.05 183 $33,927.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.81 183 $34,067.32 $34,067.32 +$139.34
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET $181.68 188 $34,067.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $178.21 188 $33,417.57 $33,417.57 $-649.75
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $179.47 186 $33,417.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $186.38 186 $34,704.22 $34,704.22 +$1,286.65
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $188.37 184 $34,704.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.33 184 $33,223.86 $33,223.86 $-1,480.36
(-4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $171.46 194 $33,223.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.61 194 $36,547.02 $36,547.02 +$3,323.16
(+10.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $187.30 195 $36,547.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.63 195 $35,634.83 $35,634.83 $-912.19
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $191.01 187 $35,634.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.18 187 $33,614.38 $33,614.38 $-2,020.45
(-5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $179.30 187 $33,614.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.39 187 $34,567.67 $34,567.67 +$953.29
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $183.66 188 $34,567.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $172.64 188 $32,492.65 $32,492.65 $-2,075.02
(-6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:20am ET $175.15 186 $32,492.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.24 186 $32,322.91 $32,322.91 $-169.74
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $171.49 188 $32,322.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.70 188 $34,247.34 $34,247.34 +$1,924.43
(+6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $197.50 173 $34,247.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.29 173 $36,985.62 $36,985.62 +$2,738.28
(+8.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $203.64 182 $36,985.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.26 182 $35,646.15 $35,646.15 $-1,339.47
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $35,646.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$25,646.15
Total Return: +256.46%
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